Value Assessment
Home Win
2.17
28% pred
-17.9%
Draw
3.86
24% pred
-2.1%
Away Win
2.90
48% pred
+13.6%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.41
60%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
2.90
+13.6% edge
48% probability
Expected value: +0.39 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
66%
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Dec 20 2025
·
19:00
Venue
Sportpark De Weeren
(Amsterdam)
Competition
Eredivisie
·
17
Coaches
Dick Schreuder
NEC Nijmegen
Fred Grim
Ajax
Referee
Allard Lindhout
Related Coverage
Recent Form
NEC Nijmegen
4W 1D 0L
2.6 GF · 1 GA
W
H
Heracles Almelo
4-1
Heracles Almelo
4-1
W
H
PEC Zwolle
2-1
PEC Zwolle
2-1
D
H
Ajax
2-2
Ajax
2-2
W
H
Sparta Rotterdam
3-1
Sparta Rotterdam
3-1
W
H
FC Groningen
2-0
FC Groningen
2-0
4W 1D 0L
2.6 GF · 1 GA
W
H
Heracles Almelo
4-1
Heracles Almelo
4-1
W
H
PEC Zwolle
2-1
PEC Zwolle
2-1
D
H
Ajax
2-2
Ajax
2-2
W
H
Sparta Rotterdam
3-1
Sparta Rotterdam
3-1
W
H
FC Groningen
2-0
FC Groningen
2-0
4W 1D 0L
3.2 GF · 2 GA
W
A
AZ
3-1
AZ
3-1
W
A
NAC Breda
4-3
NAC Breda
4-3
D
A
Telstar
2-2
Telstar
2-2
W
A
FC Volendam
3-2
FC Volendam
3-2
W
A
Feyenoord
4-2
Feyenoord
4-2
4W 1D 0L
3 GF · 1.6 GA
W
H
Heracles Almelo
4-1
Heracles Almelo
4-1
W
A
AZ
3-1
AZ
3-1
W
H
PEC Zwolle
2-1
PEC Zwolle
2-1
W
A
NAC Breda
4-3
NAC Breda
4-3
D
H
Ajax
2-2
Ajax
2-2
Ajax
2W 3D 0L
2 GF · 1.6 GA
D
A
AZ
1-1
AZ
1-1
D
A
Excelsior
2-2
Excelsior
2-2
W
A
Villarreal
2-1
Villarreal
2-1
W
A
Telstar
3-2
Telstar
3-2
D
A
NEC Nijmegen
2-2
NEC Nijmegen
2-2
3W 1D 1L
1.8 GF · 0.8 GA
L
H
Olympiacos F.C.
1-2
Olympiacos F.C.
1-2
W
H
FC Volendam
2-0
FC Volendam
2-0
D
H
Go Ahead Eagles
2-2
Go Ahead Eagles
2-2
W
H
Feyenoord
2-0
Feyenoord
2-0
W
H
FC Groningen
2-0
FC Groningen
2-0
2W 3D 0L
2 GF · 1.6 GA
D
A
AZ
1-1
AZ
1-1
D
A
Excelsior
2-2
Excelsior
2-2
W
A
Villarreal
2-1
Villarreal
2-1
W
A
Telstar
3-2
Telstar
3-2
D
A
NEC Nijmegen
2-2
NEC Nijmegen
2-2
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.2 GA
D
A
AZ
1-1
AZ
1-1
D
A
Excelsior
2-2
Excelsior
2-2
L
H
Olympiacos F.C.
1-2
Olympiacos F.C.
1-2
W
H
FC Volendam
2-0
FC Volendam
2-0
W
A
Villarreal
2-1
Villarreal
2-1
Sidelined Players
NEC Nijmegen
2 out
Bryan Linssen
injury
Bryan Linssen
injury
Ajax
2 out
Maarten Paes
suspended
Maher Carrizo
suspended
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
NEC Nijmegen
1
10%
Draws
3
30%
Ajax
6
60%
Avg Goals
3.2
BTTS
60%
League Signals
Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
55%
Over 2.5
58%
Final Words
NEC Nijmegen enter this match in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. The head-to-head favors Ajax in recent meetings.