Napoli vs Sassuolo

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.46
63% pred
-5.3%
Draw
4.22
24% pred
+0.7%
Away Win
7.94
12% pred
-0.2%
BTTS Yes 2.24 36%
BTTS No 1.62 60%

Key Insights

Title Race

Napoli

Napoli in position 3, 6 points behind leader - competing for title

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

Napoli

Napoli has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Streak Watch

Napoli

Napoli unbeaten in 5 games (2 wins, 3 draws) - solid defensive form

Medium impact

Streak Watch

Sassuolo

Sassuolo without a win in 5 games (2 draws, 3 losses) - struggling for results

High impact

Home Fortress

Napoli

Napoli unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (4 wins, 4 draws) - strong home advantage

Medium impact

Bookmaker Split

Bookmakers disagree on home win: 1.31 (HKJC) to 1.98 (Betsson) - 25.8% probability spread indicates market uncertainty

High impact

Match Normality

70%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Jan 17 2026 · 17:00
Venue
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Napoli)
Competition
Serie A · 21
Coaches
Antonio Conte
Antonio Conte
Napoli
Fabio Grosso
Fabio Grosso
Sassuolo
Referee
Francesco Fourneau Francesco Fourneau

Recent Form

Napoli Napoli
2W 2D 1L
1.2 GF · 1 GA
D H Como Como 1-1
W H Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-1
L H Chelsea Chelsea 2-3
W H Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-0
D H Parma Parma 0-0
2W 2D 1L
1.2 GF · 1 GA
D H Como Como 1-1
W H Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-1
L H Chelsea Chelsea 2-3
W H Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-0
D H Parma Parma 0-0
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W A Genoa Genoa 3-2
L A Juventus Juventus 0-3
D A FC København FC København 1-1
D A Inter Inter 2-2
W A Lazio Lazio 2-0
2W 1D 2L
1.6 GF · 2 GA
D H Como Como 1-1
W A Genoa Genoa 3-2
W H Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-1
L H Chelsea Chelsea 2-3
L A Juventus Juventus 0-3
Sassuolo Sassuolo
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
W A Pisa Pisa 3-1
L A Napoli Napoli 0-1
L A Roma Roma 0-2
D A Bologna Bologna 1-1
D A AC Milan AC Milan 2-2
1W 1D 3L
0.4 GF · 2 GA
L H Inter Inter 0-5
W H Cremonese Cremonese 1-0
L H Juventus Juventus 0-3
D H Parma Parma 1-1
L H Torino Torino 0-1
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
W A Pisa Pisa 3-1
L A Napoli Napoli 0-1
L A Roma Roma 0-2
D A Bologna Bologna 1-1
D A AC Milan AC Milan 2-2
2W 0D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.8 GA
L H Inter Inter 0-5
W A Pisa Pisa 3-1
W H Cremonese Cremonese 1-0
L A Napoli Napoli 0-1
L A Roma Roma 0-2

Sidelined Players

Napoli Napoli 3 out
Frank Anguissa 
Frank Anguissa 
injury
Giovanni Di Lorenzo 
Giovanni Di Lorenzo 
injury
Kevin De Bruyne 
Kevin De Bruyne 
injury
Sassuolo Sassuolo 2 out
Edoardo Pieragnolo
Edoardo Pieragnolo
injury
Fali Candé
Fali Candé
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Napoli
7
70%
Draws
2
20%
Sassuolo
1
10%
Avg Goals
3.7
BTTS
40%

League Signals

Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
51%

Final Words

Napoli vs Sassuolo kicks off at 17:00 [GMT] on Saturday, January 17, at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
Napoli Napoli

<p>Napoli host Sassuolo at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in a Serie A encounter, with the sides moving in different directions as the season develops. Napoli sit 3rd in the standings on 40 points, firmly in the hunt at the top end of the table, though Antonio Conte’s side have hit a slight bump in momentum.</p> <p>Their most recent outing ended in a goalless draw away to Parma, a result that extended Napoli’s run to three consecutive matches without a win in all competitions.</p> <p>Despite this, the bigger picture remains encouraging, as Napoli have lost just once in their last eight games and are unbeaten in seven matches overall.</p> <p>Home form continues to be a major source of confidence.</p> <p>Napoli may have gone two consecutive home games without winning, but they remain unbeaten in their last 15 matches at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.</p> <p>That resilience on familiar ground has been key to their strong league position and suggests they remain difficult to break down, even when victories are not flowing freely.</p> <p>The familiar 4-3-3 formation with Rasmus Højlund, Elmas and Matteo Politano in attack may be seen against Sassuolo.</p>

Sassuolo Sassuolo

<p>Sassuolo arrive in Naples amid a troubling spell. They sit 11th with 23 points, and recent form points to a side short on confidence. Their last outing ended in a 2-0 defeat at home to Roma, extending a winless run to six games.</p> <p>They have managed just one victory in their last nine outings and have lost their last two matches in succession. Defensive issues have been costly, with Sassuolo conceding in nine consecutive games. The strain is on an attack that has struggled to compensate.</p> <p>With momentum firmly against them, the challenge of visiting one of Serie A’s strongest home sides could hardly come at a worse time.</p> <p>In addition, history favours Napoli heavily. The two sides have met 24 times across all competitions, with Napoli winning 15 of those encounters and Sassuolo restricted to two victories.</p> <p>In Serie A alone, Napoli boast 14 wins, seven draws and only two defeats from 23 meetings.</p> <p>That dominance is even more pronounced in Naples, where Napoli have won nine of the 12 league clashes at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, with Sassuolo claiming just a single victory.</p> <p>Andrea Pinamonti, Armand Laurienté, and Fadera could form the attacking trio when Sassuolo appear with the 4-3-3 formation.</p>