Napoli vs Parma

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.33
59% pred
-16.7%
Draw
4.97
26% pred
+6.2%
VALUE
Away Win
9.88
15% pred
+5.0%
VALUE
BTTS Yes 2.31 36%
BTTS No 1.58 60%

Key Insights

Title Race

Napoli

Napoli in position 3, 4 points behind leader - competing for title

Medium impact

European Race

Napoli

Napoli in position 3 - competing for European qualification

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

Napoli

Napoli has 5 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

High impact

Rotation Risk

Parma

Parma has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Home Fortress

Napoli

Napoli unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (4 wins, 4 draws) - strong home advantage

Medium impact

Match Normality

55%

Significant concerns

Match Info

Kickoff
Wed, Jan 14 2026 · 17:30
Venue
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Napoli)
Competition
Serie A · 16
Coaches
Antonio Conte
Antonio Conte
Napoli
Carlos Antón Cuesta
Carlos Antón Cuesta
Parma
Referee
Michael Fabbri Michael Fabbri

Recent Form

Napoli Napoli
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-1
L H Chelsea Chelsea 2-3
W H Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-0
D H Parma Parma 0-0
D H Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-2
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-1
L H Chelsea Chelsea 2-3
W H Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-0
D H Parma Parma 0-0
D H Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-2
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W A Genoa Genoa 3-2
L A Juventus Juventus 0-3
D A FC København FC København 1-1
D A Inter Inter 2-2
W A Lazio Lazio 2-0
2W 1D 2L
1.6 GF · 2 GA
W A Genoa Genoa 3-2
W H Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-1
L H Chelsea Chelsea 2-3
L A Juventus Juventus 0-3
D A FC København FC København 1-1
Parma Parma
2W 2D 1L
0.8 GF · 1.2 GA
W A Bologna Bologna 1-0
L A Atalanta Atalanta 0-4
D A Napoli Napoli 0-0
W A Lecce Lecce 2-1
D A Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-1
1W 1D 3L
0.4 GF · 1.4 GA
L H Juventus Juventus 1-4
D H Genoa Genoa 0-0
L H Inter Inter 0-2
W H Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-0
L H Lazio Lazio 0-1
2W 2D 1L
0.8 GF · 1.2 GA
W A Bologna Bologna 1-0
L A Atalanta Atalanta 0-4
D A Napoli Napoli 0-0
W A Lecce Lecce 2-1
D A Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-1
1W 2D 2L
0.4 GF · 1.6 GA
W A Bologna Bologna 1-0
L H Juventus Juventus 1-4
L A Atalanta Atalanta 0-4
D H Genoa Genoa 0-0
D A Napoli Napoli 0-0

Sidelined Players

Napoli Napoli 3 out
Frank Anguissa 
Frank Anguissa 
injury
Giovanni Di Lorenzo 
Giovanni Di Lorenzo 
injury
Kevin De Bruyne 
Kevin De Bruyne 
injury
Parma Parma 6 out
Nahuel Estévez
Nahuel Estévez
injury
Pontus Almqvist
Pontus Almqvist
injury
Vicente Guaita
Vicente Guaita
injury
Zion Suzuki
Zion Suzuki
injury
Lautaro Valenti
Lautaro Valenti
injury

+1 more

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Napoli
5
50%
Draws
3
30%
Parma
2
20%
Avg Goals
2.4
BTTS
40%

League Signals

Predictability
54%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
51%

Final Words

Napoli vs. Parma kicks off at 17:30 [GMT] on Wednesday, January 14, at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
Napoli Napoli

<p>Napoli host Parma at the <strong>Stadio Diego Armando Maradona</strong> in a Serie A clash that pairs a title-chasing side with a mid-table outfit. Napoli sit 3rd with 39 points, while Parma trail in 14th on 21 points.</p> <p>Despite their lofty position, Napoli’s home form has shown some inconsistency, with three draws in their last six matches across all competitions. That included last weekend’s hard-fought 2-2 draw with Inter, where they came back twice from a goal down.</p> <p>That statistic does little to dampen their Maradona dominance, as they remain unbeaten in their last 19 Serie A home games. Across the league, Napoli have avoided defeat in 37 of their last 42 Serie A matches, underscoring why they remain firmly in the title conversation.</p> <p>Offensively, Napoli appear to be finding their rhythm again. They have scored at least two goals in each of their last four Serie A matches.</p> <p>This trend is reflected in recent home games as well. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in three of Napoli’s latest Serie A matches at the Maradona.</p> <p>Victory here would put an end to a two-game winless run. A 3—4—2—1 with Rasmus Højlund in attack is expected against Parma.</p>

Parma Parma

<p>Parma arrive in Naples with genuine belief, particularly based on their away form. They have been unbeaten in six of their last seven Serie A away matches, with three wins in their last six on the road.</p> <p>This resilience away from home has been a key factor in keeping them clear of the relegation battle and gives them confidence heading into what is arguably one of the toughest fixtures in the league.</p> <p>Napoli have had the edge in this matchup, winning half of the last six head-to-head encounters against Parma.</p> <p>While that record suggests Parma are capable of being competitive, Napoli’s long-standing home strength and superior quality across the pitch make them clear favourites.</p> <p>With Napoli pushing to keep pace at the top end of the table and Parma aiming to build on their strong away performances, this encounter promises an intriguing contrast in styles.</p> <p>Napoli’s home dominance and attacking momentum will be tested against a Parma side that has proven difficult to beat on their travels, setting the stage for a compelling Serie A clash in Naples.</p> <p>A 4—2—3—1 with Mateo Pellegrino in attack is expected against Napoli.</p>