Value Assessment
Home Win
3.35
37% pred
+7.1%
VALUE
Draw
3.51
28% pred
-0.8%
Away Win
2.12
35% pred
-11.8%
BTTS Yes
1.67
41%
BTTS No
2.15
48%
Key Insights
Rotation Risk
Napoli has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Medium impactRotation Risk
Chelsea has 5 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
High impactStreak Watch
Chelsea on 5-game winning streak - exceptional form
High impactBTTS Tendency
Chelsea matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes
Medium impactMatch Normality
50%
Significant concerns
Match Info
Kickoff
Wed, Jan 28 2026
·
20:00
Venue
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
(Napoli)
Competition
Champions League
·
League Stage
, 8
Coaches
Antonio Conte
Napoli
Liam Rosenior
Chelsea
Referee
Clément Turpin
Recent Form
Napoli
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Fiorentina
2-1
Fiorentina
2-1
L
H
Chelsea
2-3
Chelsea
2-3
W
H
Sassuolo
1-0
Sassuolo
1-0
D
H
Parma
0-0
Parma
0-0
D
H
Hellas Verona
2-2
Hellas Verona
2-2
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Fiorentina
2-1
Fiorentina
2-1
L
H
Chelsea
2-3
Chelsea
2-3
W
H
Sassuolo
1-0
Sassuolo
1-0
D
H
Parma
0-0
Parma
0-0
D
H
Hellas Verona
2-2
Hellas Verona
2-2
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Juventus
0-3
Juventus
0-3
D
A
FC København
1-1
FC København
1-1
D
A
Inter
2-2
Inter
2-2
W
A
Lazio
2-0
Lazio
2-0
W
A
Cremonese
2-0
Cremonese
2-0
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
W
H
Fiorentina
2-1
Fiorentina
2-1
L
H
Chelsea
2-3
Chelsea
2-3
L
A
Juventus
0-3
Juventus
0-3
D
A
FC København
1-1
FC København
1-1
W
H
Sassuolo
1-0
Sassuolo
1-0
Chelsea
3W 0D 2L
2.4 GF · 1.4 GA
L
A
Arsenal
0-1
Arsenal
0-1
W
A
Napoli
3-2
Napoli
3-2
W
A
Crystal Palace
3-1
Crystal Palace
3-1
W
A
Charlton Athletic
5-1
Charlton Athletic
5-1
L
A
Fulham
1-2
Fulham
1-2
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 1.4 GA
W
H
West Ham United
3-2
West Ham United
3-2
W
H
Pafos FC
1-0
Pafos FC
1-0
W
H
Brentford
2-0
Brentford
2-0
L
H
Arsenal
2-3
Arsenal
2-3
D
H
AFC Bournemouth
2-2
AFC Bournemouth
2-2
3W 0D 2L
2.4 GF · 1.4 GA
L
A
Arsenal
0-1
Arsenal
0-1
W
A
Napoli
3-2
Napoli
3-2
W
A
Crystal Palace
3-1
Crystal Palace
3-1
W
A
Charlton Athletic
5-1
Charlton Athletic
5-1
L
A
Fulham
1-2
Fulham
1-2
4W 0D 1L
2 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Arsenal
0-1
Arsenal
0-1
W
H
West Ham United
3-2
West Ham United
3-2
W
A
Napoli
3-2
Napoli
3-2
W
A
Crystal Palace
3-1
Crystal Palace
3-1
W
H
Pafos FC
1-0
Pafos FC
1-0
Sidelined Players
Napoli
5 out
Matteo Politano
injury
Vanja Milinković-Savić
injury
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
injury
Frank Anguissa
injury
Kevin De Bruyne
injury
Chelsea
10 out
Dário Essugo
injury
Tosin Adarabioyo
injury
Omari Kellyman
injury
Mykhaylo Mudryk
suspended
João Félix
injury
+5 more
Head-to-Head (Last 3)
Napoli
1
33%
Draws
0
0%
Chelsea
2
67%
Avg Goals
4.7
BTTS
100%
League Signals
Predictability
57%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
20%
BTTS
51%
Over 2.5
57%
Final Words
Chelsea arrive in strong form with 4 wins from 5 games.