Value Assessment
Home Win
2.66
24% pred
-13.6%
Draw
3.14
30% pred
-2.1%
Away Win
2.74
46% pred
+9.8%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.76
45%
BTTS No
2.01
51%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
2.74
+9.8% edge
46% probability
Expected value: +0.27 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
66%
Key Insights
Relegation Zone
Nantes in position 16 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
High impactRelegation Zone
Paris in position 15 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
Medium impactMust Win
Nantes in position 16 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
High impactMatch Normality
100%
Normal match expected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Jan 18 2026
·
16:15
Venue
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
(Nantes)
Competition
Ligue 1
·
18
Coaches
Ahmed Kantari
Nantes
Stéphane Gilli
Paris
Referee
Benoit Millot
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Nantes
0W 1D 4L
0.8 GF · 2 GA
L
H
Olympique Lyonnais
0-1
Olympique Lyonnais
0-1
L
H
Nice
1-4
Nice
1-4
L
H
Paris
1-2
Paris
1-2
L
H
Lens
1-2
Lens
1-2
D
H
Lorient
1-1
Lorient
1-1
0W 1D 4L
0.8 GF · 2 GA
L
H
Olympique Lyonnais
0-1
Olympique Lyonnais
0-1
L
H
Nice
1-4
Nice
1-4
L
H
Paris
1-2
Paris
1-2
L
H
Lens
1-2
Lens
1-2
D
H
Lorient
1-1
Lorient
1-1
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 2 GA
L
A
Lorient
1-2
Lorient
1-2
W
A
Olympique Marseille
2-0
Olympique Marseille
2-0
L
A
Angers SCO
1-4
Angers SCO
1-4
L
A
Olympique Lyonnais
0-3
Olympique Lyonnais
0-3
D
A
Le Havre
1-1
Le Havre
1-1
1W 0D 4L
1 GF · 1.8 GA
L
H
Olympique Lyonnais
0-1
Olympique Lyonnais
0-1
L
A
Lorient
1-2
Lorient
1-2
L
H
Nice
1-4
Nice
1-4
L
H
Paris
1-2
Paris
1-2
W
A
Olympique Marseille
2-0
Olympique Marseille
2-0
Paris
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.4 GA
D
A
Auxerre
0-0
Auxerre
0-0
W
A
Nantes
2-1
Nantes
2-1
L
A
Paris Saint Germain
1-2
Paris Saint Germain
1-2
D
A
Le Havre
0-0
Le Havre
0-0
L
A
LOSC Lille
2-4
LOSC Lille
2-4
0W 3D 2L
0.6 GF · 1.4 GA
D
H
Olympique Marseille
2-2
Olympique Marseille
2-2
D
H
Angers SCO
0-0
Angers SCO
0-0
L
H
Toulouse
0-3
Toulouse
0-3
D
H
Auxerre
1-1
Auxerre
1-1
L
H
Rennes
0-1
Rennes
0-1
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.4 GA
D
A
Auxerre
0-0
Auxerre
0-0
W
A
Nantes
2-1
Nantes
2-1
L
A
Paris Saint Germain
1-2
Paris Saint Germain
1-2
D
A
Le Havre
0-0
Le Havre
0-0
L
A
LOSC Lille
2-4
LOSC Lille
2-4
1W 3D 1L
1 GF · 1 GA
D
A
Auxerre
0-0
Auxerre
0-0
D
H
Olympique Marseille
2-2
Olympique Marseille
2-2
D
H
Angers SCO
0-0
Angers SCO
0-0
W
A
Nantes
2-1
Nantes
2-1
L
A
Paris Saint Germain
1-2
Paris Saint Germain
1-2
Sidelined Players
Nantes
4 out
Nathan Zézé
suspension
Deiver Machado
injury
Ignatius Ganago
injury
Bahmed Deuff
injury
Paris
4 out
Pierre-Yves Hamel
injury
Thibault De Smet
injury
Pierre Lees-Melou
injury
Samir Chergui
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 2)
Nantes
1
50%
Draws
0
0%
Paris
1
50%
Avg Goals
3.0
BTTS
100%
League Signals
Predictability
54%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.8
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
56%
Over 2.5
54%
Final Words
Nantes have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Paris have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.