Value Assessment
Home Win
8.28
18% pred
+5.4%
VALUE
Draw
6.02
19% pred
+2.6%
Away Win
1.29
63% pred
-14.3%
BTTS Yes
1.59
49%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Home Win
@
8.28
+5.4% edge
18% probability
Expected value: +0.45 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
71%
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Nov 22 2025
·
15:30
Venue
Rat Verlegh Stadion
(Breda)
Competition
Eredivisie
·
13
Coaches
Carl Hoefkens
NAC Breda
Peter Bosz
PSV
Referee
Marc Nagtegaal
Recent Form
NAC Breda
0W 2D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
D
H
FC Twente
2-2
FC Twente
2-2
L
H
NEC Nijmegen
3-4
NEC Nijmegen
3-4
L
H
Telstar
0-1
Telstar
0-1
D
H
FC Utrecht
1-1
FC Utrecht
1-1
L
H
PSV
0-1
PSV
0-1
0W 2D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
D
H
FC Twente
2-2
FC Twente
2-2
L
H
NEC Nijmegen
3-4
NEC Nijmegen
3-4
L
H
Telstar
0-1
Telstar
0-1
D
H
FC Utrecht
1-1
FC Utrecht
1-1
L
H
PSV
0-1
PSV
0-1
0W 2D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.2 GA
D
A
PSV
2-2
PSV
2-2
D
A
FC Groningen
0-0
FC Groningen
0-0
L
A
Sparta Rotterdam
0-1
Sparta Rotterdam
0-1
L
A
Excelsior
0-1
Excelsior
0-1
L
A
FC Volendam
1-2
FC Volendam
1-2
0W 3D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.8 GA
D
H
FC Twente
2-2
FC Twente
2-2
D
A
PSV
2-2
PSV
2-2
L
H
NEC Nijmegen
3-4
NEC Nijmegen
3-4
D
A
FC Groningen
0-0
FC Groningen
0-0
L
H
Telstar
0-1
Telstar
0-1
PSV
4W 0D 1L
2 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Newcastle United
0-3
Newcastle United
0-3
W
A
Fortuna Sittard
2-1
Fortuna Sittard
2-1
W
A
FC Utrecht
2-1
FC Utrecht
2-1
W
A
SC Heerenveen
2-0
SC Heerenveen
2-0
W
A
Liverpool
4-1
Liverpool
4-1
3W 1D 1L
3 GF · 1.6 GA
W
H
Feyenoord
3-0
Feyenoord
3-0
L
H
FC Bayern München
1-2
FC Bayern München
1-2
D
H
NAC Breda
2-2
NAC Breda
2-2
W
H
Excelsior
5-1
Excelsior
5-1
W
H
Heracles Almelo
4-3
Heracles Almelo
4-3
4W 0D 1L
2 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Newcastle United
0-3
Newcastle United
0-3
W
A
Fortuna Sittard
2-1
Fortuna Sittard
2-1
W
A
FC Utrecht
2-1
FC Utrecht
2-1
W
A
SC Heerenveen
2-0
SC Heerenveen
2-0
W
A
Liverpool
4-1
Liverpool
4-1
2W 1D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W
H
Feyenoord
3-0
Feyenoord
3-0
L
H
FC Bayern München
1-2
FC Bayern München
1-2
D
H
NAC Breda
2-2
NAC Breda
2-2
L
A
Newcastle United
0-3
Newcastle United
0-3
W
A
Fortuna Sittard
2-1
Fortuna Sittard
2-1
Sidelined Players
NAC Breda
1 out
Fredrik Oldrup Jensen
injury
PSV
6 out
Alassane Pléa
injury
Armando Obispo
injury
Myron Boadu
injury
Ricardo Pepi
injury
Richard Ledezma
injury
+1 more
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
NAC Breda
0
0%
Draws
1
10%
PSV
9
90%
Avg Goals
3.7
BTTS
50%
League Signals
Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
55%
Over 2.5
58%
Final Words
NAC Breda have struggled recently, winning just 0 of their last 5 matches. The head-to-head favors PSV in recent meetings.