Motor Lublin vs Pogoń Szczecin - Ekstraklasa Prediction

Value Assessment

Home Win

2.60

43% pred

+4.5%

MARGINAL

Draw

3.48

25% pred

-3.3%

Away Win

2.42

32% pred

-9.6%

BTTS Yes 1.50 46%

BTTS No 2.46 42%

Key Insights

BTTS Tendency

Motor Lublin matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

Pogoń Szczecin matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Leaky Defense

Pogoń Szczecin has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Motor Lublin has Karol Czubak ranked #2 in league scoring (11 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 46.5% BTTS vs 66.7% market consensus - lower probability, 20.2% gap

Medium impact

Match Normality

95%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff

Sun, Feb 1 2026 · 11:15

Venue

Arena Lublin (Lublin)

Competition

Ekstraklasa · 19

Coaches

Mateusz Stolarski

Motor Lublin

Thomas Thomasberg

Pogoń Szczecin

Referee

Łukasz Kuźma

Recent Form

Motor Lublin

2W 3D 0L

1.6 GF · 0.8 GA

W H

Pogoń Szczecin 2-1

D H

Jagiellonia Białystok 1-1

D H

Legia Warszawa 1-1

D H

Wisła Płock 1-1

W H

Widzew Lodz 3-0

2W 3D 0L

1.6 GF · 0.8 GA

W H

Pogoń Szczecin 2-1

D H

Jagiellonia Białystok 1-1

D H

Legia Warszawa 1-1

D H

Wisła Płock 1-1

W H

Widzew Lodz 3-0

1W 2D 2L

1.2 GF · 1.6 GA

L A

Arka Gdynia 0-1

W A

Cracovia Kraków 2-1

D A

Lech Poznań 2-2

L A

Raków Częstochowa 0-2

D A

Zagłębie Lubin 2-2

2W 2D 1L

1.2 GF · 1 GA

W H

Pogoń Szczecin 2-1

D H

Jagiellonia Białystok 1-1

L A

Arka Gdynia 0-1

D H

Legia Warszawa 1-1

W A

Cracovia Kraków 2-1

Pogoń Szczecin

0W 1D 4L

0.6 GF · 1.8 GA

L A

Motor Lublin 1-2

L A

Katowice 0-2

L A

Wisła Płock 0-2

D A

Lech Poznań 2-2

L A

Legia Warszawa 0-1

3W 1D 1L

2.4 GF · 1.4 GA

D H

Radomiak Radom 2-2

W H

Zagłębie Lubin 5-1

L H

Jagiellonia Białystok 1-2

W H

Cracovia Kraków 2-1

W H

Piast Gliwice 2-1

0W 1D 4L

0.6 GF · 1.8 GA

L A

Motor Lublin 1-2

L A

Katowice 0-2

L A

Wisła Płock 0-2

D A

Lech Poznań 2-2

L A

Legia Warszawa 0-1

1W 1D 3L

1.8 GF · 1.8 GA

L A

Motor Lublin 1-2

D H

Radomiak Radom 2-2

L A

Katowice 0-2

W H

Zagłębie Lubin 5-1

L H

Jagiellonia Białystok 1-2

Sidelined Players

Motor Lublin 0 out

No reported absences

Pogoń Szczecin 4 out

Léo Borges

injury

Rajmund Molnár

injury

Attila Szalai

injury

Rajmund Molnár

injury

Head-to-Head (Last 4)

Motor Lublin

2

50%

Draws

0

0%

Pogoń Szczecin

2

50%

Avg Goals

4.3

BTTS

75%

League Signals

Predictability

48%

LOW

Home Bias

+8%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

2.6

MEDIUM

Draw Rate

27%

BTTS

52%

Over 2.5

48%

Final Words

Pogoń Szczecin have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.