Just Football Predictions

Motherwell vs Kilmarnock

Full Time
Premiership Fir Park
Motherwell

Motherwell

4
-
0
Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

Value Assessment Key Insights Match Context Recent Form Sidelined Head-to-Head League Signals Final Words

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.63
55% pred
-6.7%
Draw
3.92
29% pred
+3.7%
MARGINAL
Away Win
5.84
16% pred
-1.1%
BTTS Yes 1.99 40%
BTTS No 1.76 56%

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock in position 11 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Streak Watch

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock without a win in 5 games (2 draws, 3 losses) - struggling for results

High impact

Home Fortress

Motherwell

Motherwell unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (7 wins, 1 draws) - strong home advantage

Medium impact

Away Struggles

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock winless in last 8 away matches (3 draws, 5 losses) - poor away record

Medium impact

Bookmaker Split

Bookmakers disagree on home win: 1.39 (HKJC) to 2.51 (MelBet) - 32.1% probability spread indicates market uncertainty

High impact

Bookmaker Split

Bookmakers disagree on away win: 2.63 (Betfair) to 7.42 (Cashpoint) - 24.5% probability spread indicates market uncertainty

High impact

Match Normality

70%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Jan 24 2026 · 15:00
Venue
Fir Park (Motherwell)
Competition
Premiership · 23
Coaches
Jens Askou
Jens Askou
Motherwell
Stuart Kettlewell
Stuart Kettlewell
Kilmarnock
Referee
N. Walsh N. Walsh

Recent Form

Motherwell Motherwell
5W 0D 0L
2.4 GF · 0 GA
W H Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 4-0
W H St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-0
W H Celtic Celtic 2-0
W H Dundee Dundee 1-0
W H Livingston Livingston 3-0
5W 0D 0L
2.4 GF · 0 GA
W H Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 4-0
W H St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-0
W H Celtic Celtic 2-0
W H Dundee Dundee 1-0
W H Livingston Livingston 3-0
1W 3D 1L
0.6 GF · 0.4 GA
W A Livingston Livingston 2-0
D A Hibernian Hibernian 1-1
L A Rangers Rangers 0-1
D A Dundee United Dundee United 0-0
D A Falkirk Falkirk 0-0
4W 1D 0L
2.2 GF · 0.2 GA
W A Livingston Livingston 2-0
W H Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 4-0
D A Hibernian Hibernian 1-1
W H St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-0
W H Celtic Celtic 2-0
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
0W 2D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.8 GA
L A Motherwell Motherwell 0-4
D A Livingston Livingston 1-1
L A Dundee Dundee 1-2
D A St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-0
L A Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-2
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
W H Aberdeen Aberdeen 3-0
L H Hibernian Hibernian 1-3
L H Falkirk Falkirk 0-1
L H Rangers Rangers 0-3
D H Dundee United Dundee United 1-1
0W 2D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.8 GA
L A Motherwell Motherwell 0-4
D A Livingston Livingston 1-1
L A Dundee Dundee 1-2
D A St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-0
L A Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-2
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 2 GA
W H Aberdeen Aberdeen 3-0
L A Motherwell Motherwell 0-4
D A Livingston Livingston 1-1
L H Hibernian Hibernian 1-3
L A Dundee Dundee 1-2

Sidelined Players

Motherwell Motherwell 2 out
Aston Oxborough
Aston Oxborough
injury
R. Callachan
R. Callachan
injury
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2 out
Matty Kennedy
Matty Kennedy
injury
Djenairo Daniels
Djenairo Daniels
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Motherwell
4
40%
Draws
4
40%
Kilmarnock
2
20%
Avg Goals
2.5
BTTS
50%

League Signals

Predictability
54%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
52%

Final Words

Motherwell enter this match in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. Kilmarnock have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.