Just Football Predictions

Moreirense vs Tondela

Full Time
Liga Portugal Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Moreirense

Moreirense

1
-
0
Tondela

Tondela

Value Assessment Best Opportunity Key Insights Match Context Recent Form Sidelined Head-to-Head League Signals Final Words

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.05
39% pred
-10.1%
Draw
3.15
26% pred
-5.4%
Away Win
3.84
35% pred
+8.9%
VALUE
BTTS Yes 1.95 47%
BTTS No 1.79 49%

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

Tondela

Tondela in position 17 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

European Race

Moreirense

Moreirense in position 7 - competing for European qualification

Medium impact

Must Win

Tondela

Tondela in position 17 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Match Normality

100%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sun, Jan 11 2026 · 18:00
Venue
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas (Moreira de Cónegos)
Competition
Liga Portugal · 16
Coaches
Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa
Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa
Moreirense
Cristiano Bacci
Cristiano Bacci
Tondela
Referee
Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho
Related Coverage
League season story Moreirense form report Tondela form report

Recent Form

Moreirense Moreirense
2W 1D 2L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
L H Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-2
W H Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-0
W H Tondela Tondela 1-0
L H Benfica Benfica 0-4
D H Famalicão Famalicão 2-2
2W 1D 2L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
L H Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-2
W H Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-0
W H Tondela Tondela 1-0
L H Benfica Benfica 0-4
D H Famalicão Famalicão 2-2
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.2 GA
L A Vitória Guimarães Vitória Guimarães 0-1
L A Alverca Alverca 1-2
W A AVS AVS 2-0
D A Estrela Amadora Estrela Amadora 0-0
D A Estoril Estoril 3-3
2W 0D 3L
0.8 GF · 1 GA
L H Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-2
L A Vitória Guimarães Vitória Guimarães 0-1
W H Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-0
L A Alverca Alverca 1-2
W H Tondela Tondela 1-0
Tondela Tondela
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.8 GA
D A Estoril Estoril 2-2
L A Famalicão Famalicão 0-3
L A Moreirense Moreirense 0-1
L A Nacional Nacional 1-3
W A Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-0
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.2 GA
D H Benfica Benfica 0-0
L H Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 0-1
W H Arouca Arouca 3-1
L H Casa Pia Casa Pia 1-2
L H Porto Porto 0-2
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.8 GA
D A Estoril Estoril 2-2
L A Famalicão Famalicão 0-3
L A Moreirense Moreirense 0-1
L A Nacional Nacional 1-3
W A Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-0
0W 2D 3L
0.4 GF · 1.4 GA
D A Estoril Estoril 2-2
D H Benfica Benfica 0-0
L A Famalicão Famalicão 0-3
L H Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 0-1
L A Moreirense Moreirense 0-1

Sidelined Players

Moreirense Moreirense 1 out
Vasco Sousa
Vasco Sousa
injury
Tondela Tondela 0 out

No reported absences

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Moreirense
4
40%
Draws
2
20%
Tondela
4
40%
Avg Goals
2.3
BTTS
50%

League Signals

Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
49%

Final Words

Tondela have been inconsistent, managing just 0 win in their last 5.