Value Assessment
Home Win
3.31
37% pred
+6.5%
VALUE
Draw
2.99
30% pred
-3.8%
Away Win
2.30
34% pred
-9.8%
BTTS Yes
2.07
35%
BTTS No
1.69
56%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Home Win
@
3.31
+6.5% edge
37% probability
Expected value: +0.21 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
60%
Key Insights
European Race
Gil Vicente in position 5 - competing for European qualification
Medium impactTop Scorer
Moreirense has Guilherme Schettine Guimarães ranked #10 in league scoring (9 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactTop Scorer
Gil Vicente has Pablo ranked #8 in league scoring (10 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactMatch Normality
100%
Normal match expected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Feb 7 2026
·
15:30
Venue
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
(Moreira de Cónegos)
Competition
Liga Portugal
·
21
Coaches
Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa
Moreirense
César Peixoto
Gil Vicente
Recent Form
Moreirense
2W 1D 2L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
W
H
Santa Clara
1-0
Santa Clara
1-0
W
H
Tondela
1-0
Tondela
1-0
L
H
Benfica
0-4
Benfica
0-4
D
H
Famalicão
2-2
Famalicão
2-2
L
H
Porto
1-2
Porto
1-2
2W 1D 2L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
W
H
Santa Clara
1-0
Santa Clara
1-0
W
H
Tondela
1-0
Tondela
1-0
L
H
Benfica
0-4
Benfica
0-4
D
H
Famalicão
2-2
Famalicão
2-2
L
H
Porto
1-2
Porto
1-2
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Vitória Guimarães
0-1
Vitória Guimarães
0-1
L
A
Alverca
1-2
Alverca
1-2
W
A
AVS
2-0
AVS
2-0
D
A
Estrela Amadora
0-0
Estrela Amadora
0-0
D
A
Estoril
3-3
Estoril
3-3
3W 0D 2L
1 GF · 0.6 GA
L
A
Vitória Guimarães
0-1
Vitória Guimarães
0-1
W
H
Santa Clara
1-0
Santa Clara
1-0
L
A
Alverca
1-2
Alverca
1-2
W
H
Tondela
1-0
Tondela
1-0
W
A
AVS
2-0
AVS
2-0
Gil Vicente
0W 4D 1L
0.8 GF · 1.4 GA
L
A
Porto
0-3
Porto
0-3
D
A
Arouca
2-2
Arouca
2-2
D
A
Casa Pia
1-1
Casa Pia
1-1
D
A
Vitória Guimarães
0-0
Vitória Guimarães
0-0
D
A
AVS
1-1
AVS
1-1
2W 2D 1L
2 GF · 1 GA
W
H
Famalicão
5-0
Famalicão
5-0
W
H
Nacional
2-1
Nacional
2-1
D
H
Sporting CP
1-1
Sporting CP
1-1
D
H
Rio Ave
2-2
Rio Ave
2-2
L
H
Tondela
0-1
Tondela
0-1
0W 4D 1L
0.8 GF · 1.4 GA
L
A
Porto
0-3
Porto
0-3
D
A
Arouca
2-2
Arouca
2-2
D
A
Casa Pia
1-1
Casa Pia
1-1
D
A
Vitória Guimarães
0-0
Vitória Guimarães
0-0
D
A
AVS
1-1
AVS
1-1
2W 2D 1L
2 GF · 1.4 GA
W
H
Famalicão
5-0
Famalicão
5-0
L
A
Porto
0-3
Porto
0-3
W
H
Nacional
2-1
Nacional
2-1
D
H
Sporting CP
1-1
Sporting CP
1-1
D
A
Arouca
2-2
Arouca
2-2
Sidelined Players
Moreirense
1 out
Vasco Sousa
injury
Gil Vicente
0 out
No reported absences
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Moreirense
5
50%
Draws
3
30%
Gil Vicente
2
20%
Avg Goals
2.9
BTTS
70%
League Signals
Predictability
56%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
49%
Final Words
Historically, Moreirense have dominated this fixture.