Value Assessment
Home Win
8.17
11% pred
-1.4%
Draw
4.56
28% pred
+6.3%
VALUE
Away Win
1.38
61% pred
-11.5%
BTTS Yes
2.14
43%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Draw
@
4.56
+6.3% edge
28% probability
Expected value: +0.29 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
70%
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Dec 14 2025
·
18:00
Venue
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
(Moreira de Cónegos)
Competition
Liga Portugal
·
14
Coaches
Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa
Moreirense
José Mourinho
Benfica
Referee
Hélder Carvalho
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Moreirense
2W 1D 2L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
L
H
Gil Vicente
1-2
Gil Vicente
1-2
W
H
Santa Clara
1-0
Santa Clara
1-0
W
H
Tondela
1-0
Tondela
1-0
L
H
Benfica
0-4
Benfica
0-4
D
H
Famalicão
2-2
Famalicão
2-2
2W 1D 2L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
L
H
Gil Vicente
1-2
Gil Vicente
1-2
W
H
Santa Clara
1-0
Santa Clara
1-0
W
H
Tondela
1-0
Tondela
1-0
L
H
Benfica
0-4
Benfica
0-4
D
H
Famalicão
2-2
Famalicão
2-2
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Vitória Guimarães
0-1
Vitória Guimarães
0-1
L
A
Alverca
1-2
Alverca
1-2
W
A
AVS
2-0
AVS
2-0
D
A
Estrela Amadora
0-0
Estrela Amadora
0-0
D
A
Estoril
3-3
Estoril
3-3
2W 0D 3L
0.8 GF · 1 GA
L
H
Gil Vicente
1-2
Gil Vicente
1-2
L
A
Vitória Guimarães
0-1
Vitória Guimarães
0-1
W
H
Santa Clara
1-0
Santa Clara
1-0
L
A
Alverca
1-2
Alverca
1-2
W
H
Tondela
1-0
Tondela
1-0
Benfica
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
D
A
Tondela
0-0
Tondela
0-0
L
A
Juventus
0-2
Juventus
0-2
W
A
Rio Ave
2-0
Rio Ave
2-0
D
A
Sporting Braga
2-2
Sporting Braga
2-2
W
A
Moreirense
4-0
Moreirense
4-0
5W 0D 0L
2.8 GF · 0.8 GA
W
H
Alverca
2-1
Alverca
2-1
W
H
Real Madrid
4-2
Real Madrid
4-2
W
H
Estrela Amadora
4-0
Estrela Amadora
4-0
W
H
Estoril
3-1
Estoril
3-1
W
H
Famalicão
1-0
Famalicão
1-0
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
D
A
Tondela
0-0
Tondela
0-0
L
A
Juventus
0-2
Juventus
0-2
W
A
Rio Ave
2-0
Rio Ave
2-0
D
A
Sporting Braga
2-2
Sporting Braga
2-2
W
A
Moreirense
4-0
Moreirense
4-0
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 1 GA
W
H
Alverca
2-1
Alverca
2-1
D
A
Tondela
0-0
Tondela
0-0
W
H
Real Madrid
4-2
Real Madrid
4-2
W
H
Estrela Amadora
4-0
Estrela Amadora
4-0
L
A
Juventus
0-2
Juventus
0-2
Sidelined Players
Moreirense
1 out
Vasco Sousa
injury
Benfica
5 out
Gianluca Prestianni
suspended
João Veloso
injury
Dodi Lukébakio
injury
Henrique Araújo
injury
Richard Ríos
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Moreirense
0
0%
Draws
5
50%
Benfica
5
50%
Avg Goals
2.5
BTTS
60%
League Signals
Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
49%
Final Words
The head-to-head favors Benfica in recent meetings.