Just Football Predictions

Mantova vs Venezia

Full Time
Serie B Stadio Danilo Martelli
Mantova

Mantova

2
-
5
Venezia

Venezia

Value Assessment Best Opportunity Key Insights Match Context Recent Form Sidelined Head-to-Head League Signals Final Words

Value Assessment

Home Win
5.13
32% pred
+12.8%
VALUE
Draw
4.04
27% pred
+2.0%
Away Win
1.57
41% pred
-22.7%
BTTS Yes 1.74 45%
BTTS No 2.01 47%

Key Insights

Title Race

Venezia

Venezia in position 2, 1 point behind leader - competing for title

High impact

Relegation Zone

Mantova

Mantova in position 18 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Must Win

Mantova

Mantova in position 18 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

Venezia

Venezia on 5-game winning streak - exceptional form

High impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 41.0% away win vs 63.7% market consensus - lower probability, 22.7% gap

Medium impact

Match Normality

85%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Jan 24 2026 · 14:00
Venue
Stadio Danilo Martelli (Mantova)
Competition
Serie B · 21
Coaches
Francesco Modesto
Francesco Modesto
Mantova
Giovanni Stroppa
Giovanni Stroppa
Venezia
Referee
Marco Piccinini Marco Piccinini
Related Coverage
League season story Mantova form report Venezia form report

Recent Form

Mantova Mantova
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 1.8 GA
W H Bari 1908 Bari 1908 2-1
L H Venezia Venezia 2-5
D H Palermo Palermo 1-1
L H Empoli Empoli 0-1
L H Reggiana Reggiana 0-1
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 1.8 GA
W H Bari 1908 Bari 1908 2-1
L H Venezia Venezia 2-5
D H Palermo Palermo 1-1
L H Empoli Empoli 0-1
L H Reggiana Reggiana 0-1
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
L A Reggiana Reggiana 0-1
D A Pescara Pescara 2-2
W A Calcio Padova Calcio Padova 2-1
D A Carrarese Carrarese 0-0
L A Cesena Cesena 2-3
2W 1D 2L
1.6 GF · 2 GA
L A Reggiana Reggiana 0-1
W H Bari 1908 Bari 1908 2-1
D A Pescara Pescara 2-2
L H Venezia Venezia 2-5
W A Calcio Padova Calcio Padova 2-1
Venezia Venezia
4W 1D 0L
2.6 GF · 1.2 GA
W A Frosinone Frosinone 2-1
W A Mantova Mantova 5-2
W A Reggiana Reggiana 3-1
W A Modena Modena 2-1
D A Avellino Avellino 1-1
4W 0D 1L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
L H Modena Modena 0-2
W H Carrarese Carrarese 2-1
W H Catanzaro Catanzaro 3-1
W H Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-0
W H Monza Monza 2-0
4W 1D 0L
2.6 GF · 1.2 GA
W A Frosinone Frosinone 2-1
W A Mantova Mantova 5-2
W A Reggiana Reggiana 3-1
W A Modena Modena 2-1
D A Avellino Avellino 1-1
4W 0D 1L
2.4 GF · 1.4 GA
L H Modena Modena 0-2
W A Frosinone Frosinone 2-1
W H Carrarese Carrarese 2-1
W A Mantova Mantova 5-2
W H Catanzaro Catanzaro 3-1

Sidelined Players

Mantova Mantova 0 out

No reported absences

Venezia Venezia 1 out
Alessandro Plizzari
Alessandro Plizzari
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 3)

Mantova
0
0%
Draws
0
0%
Venezia
3
100%
Avg Goals
4.7
BTTS
33%

League Signals

Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.4
LOW
Draw Rate
32%
BTTS
52%
Over 2.5
44%

Final Words

Venezia arrive in strong form with 4 wins from 5 games. The head-to-head favors Venezia in recent meetings.