Manchester City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers - Premier League Prediction

Value Assessment

Home Win

1.22

82% pred

+0.3%

Draw

6.74

11% pred

-4.2%

Away Win

16.99

7% pred

+1.2%

BTTS Yes 1.91 34%

BTTS No 1.86 60% VALUE

Key Insights

Title Race

Manchester City in position 2, 4 points behind leader - competing for title

Medium impact

Relegation Zone

Wolverhampton Wanderers in position 20 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Must Win

Wolverhampton Wanderers in position 20 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Away Struggles

Wolverhampton Wanderers winless in last 8 away matches (2 draws, 6 losses) - poor away record

Medium impact

Bookmaker Split

Bookmakers disagree on home win: 1.05 (HKJC) to 1.33 (Dafabet) - 20.1% probability spread indicates market uncertainty

High impact

Match Normality

65%

Significant concerns

Match Info

Kickoff

Sat, Jan 24 2026 · 15:00

Venue

Etihad Stadium (Manchester)

Competition

Premier League · 23

Coaches

Pep Guardiola

Manchester City

Rob Edwards

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Referee

Farai Hallam

Recent Form

Manchester City

3W 2D 0L

3.2 GF · 0.6 GA

W H

Galatasaray 2-0

W H

Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-0

W H

Exeter City 10-1

D H

Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1

D H Chelsea

Chelsea 1-1

3W 2D 0L

3.2 GF · 0.6 GA

W H

Galatasaray 2-0

W H

Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-0

W H

Exeter City 10-1

D H

Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1

D H Chelsea

Chelsea 1-1

1W 2D 2L

1 GF · 1.4 GA

D A

Tottenham Hotspur 2-2

L A

Bodø / Glimt 1-3

L A

Manchester United 0-2

W A

Newcastle United 2-0

D A

Sunderland 0-0

2W 1D 2L

1.4 GF · 1.4 GA

D A

Tottenham Hotspur 2-2

W H

Galatasaray 2-0

W H

Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-0

L A

Bodø / Glimt 1-3

L A

Manchester United 0-2

Wolverhampton Wanderers

0W 2D 3L

0.8 GF · 1.6 GA

L A

Manchester City 0-2

D A Everton

Everton 1-1

D A

Manchester United 1-1

L A

Liverpool 1-2

L A Arsenal

Arsenal 1-2

2W 1D 2L

1.8 GF · 1 GA

L H

AFC Bournemouth 0-2

D H

Newcastle United 0-0

W H

Shrewsbury Town 6-1

W H

West Ham United 3-0

L H

Brentford 0-2

0W 2D 3L

0.8 GF · 1.6 GA

L A

Manchester City 0-2

D A Everton

Everton 1-1

D A

Manchester United 1-1

L A

Liverpool 1-2

L A Arsenal

Arsenal 1-2

1W 2D 2L

1.4 GF · 1.2 GA

L H

AFC Bournemouth 0-2

L A

Manchester City 0-2

D H

Newcastle United 0-0

W H

Shrewsbury Town 6-1

D A Everton

Everton 1-1

Sidelined Players

Manchester City 5 out

Rúben Dias

injury

Mateo Kovacic

injury

Josko Gvardiol

injury

John Stones

injury

Savinho

injury

Wolverhampton Wanderers 4 out

Enso González

injury

Sasa Kalajdzic

injury

Rodrigo Gomes

injury

Mario Lemina

injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Manchester City

9

90%

Draws

0

0%

Wolverhampton Wanderers

1

10%

Avg Goals

3.2

BTTS

40%

League Signals

Predictability

45%

LOW

Home Bias

+5%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

2.9

MEDIUM

Draw Rate

23%

BTTS

54%

Over 2.5

56%

Final Words

Wolverhampton Wanderers have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5. Historically, Manchester City have dominated this fixture.