Value Assessment
Home Win
1.22
61% pred
-20.9%
Draw
6.85
22% pred
+7.0%
VALUE
Away Win
11.50
17% pred
+8.7%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.87
46%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
11.50
+8.7% edge
17% probability
Expected value: +1.00 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
69%
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Nov 29 2025
·
15:00
Venue
Etihad Stadium
(Manchester)
Competition
Premier League
·
13
Coaches
Pep Guardiola
Manchester City
Daniel Farke
Leeds United
Referee
Peter Bankes
Recent Form
Manchester City
4W 1D 0L
3.6 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Newcastle United
3-1
Newcastle United
3-1
W
H
Galatasaray
2-0
Galatasaray
2-0
W
H
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2-0
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2-0
W
H
Exeter City
10-1
Exeter City
10-1
D
H
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-1
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-1
4W 1D 0L
3.6 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Newcastle United
3-1
Newcastle United
3-1
W
H
Galatasaray
2-0
Galatasaray
2-0
W
H
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2-0
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2-0
W
H
Exeter City
10-1
Exeter City
10-1
D
H
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-1
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-1
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.4 GA
D
A
Tottenham Hotspur
2-2
Tottenham Hotspur
2-2
L
A
Bodø / Glimt
1-3
Bodø / Glimt
1-3
L
A
Manchester United
0-2
Manchester United
0-2
W
A
Newcastle United
2-0
Newcastle United
2-0
D
A
Sunderland
0-0
Sunderland
0-0
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Newcastle United
3-1
Newcastle United
3-1
D
A
Tottenham Hotspur
2-2
Tottenham Hotspur
2-2
W
H
Galatasaray
2-0
Galatasaray
2-0
W
H
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2-0
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2-0
L
A
Bodø / Glimt
1-3
Bodø / Glimt
1-3
Leeds United
1W 3D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.4 GA
D
A
Everton
1-1
Everton
1-1
W
A
Derby County
3-1
Derby County
3-1
L
A
Newcastle United
3-4
Newcastle United
3-4
D
A
Liverpool
0-0
Liverpool
0-0
D
A
Sunderland
1-1
Sunderland
1-1
2W 2D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.8 GA
L
H
Arsenal
0-4
Arsenal
0-4
W
H
Fulham
1-0
Fulham
1-0
D
H
Manchester United
1-1
Manchester United
1-1
W
H
Crystal Palace
4-1
Crystal Palace
4-1
D
H
Liverpool
3-3
Liverpool
3-3
1W 3D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.4 GA
D
A
Everton
1-1
Everton
1-1
W
A
Derby County
3-1
Derby County
3-1
L
A
Newcastle United
3-4
Newcastle United
3-4
D
A
Liverpool
0-0
Liverpool
0-0
D
A
Sunderland
1-1
Sunderland
1-1
2W 1D 2L
1.6 GF · 2 GA
L
H
Arsenal
0-4
Arsenal
0-4
D
A
Everton
1-1
Everton
1-1
W
H
Fulham
1-0
Fulham
1-0
W
A
Derby County
3-1
Derby County
3-1
L
A
Newcastle United
3-4
Newcastle United
3-4
Sidelined Players
Manchester City
5 out
Mateo Kovacic
injury
Josko Gvardiol
injury
John Stones
injury
Savinho
injury
Rúben Dias
injury
Leeds United
1 out
Daniel James
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Manchester City
6
60%
Draws
2
20%
Leeds United
2
20%
Avg Goals
3.7
BTTS
70%
League Signals
Predictability
45%
LOW
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
23%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
56%
Final Words
Historically, Manchester City have dominated this fixture.