Just Football Predictions

Málaga vs Burgos

Full Time
La Liga 2 Estadio La Rosaleda
Málaga

Málaga

3
-
0
Burgos

Burgos

Value Assessment Key Insights Match Context Recent Form Sidelined Head-to-Head League Signals Final Words

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.03
44% pred
-5.1%
Draw
2.98
29% pred
-5.0%
Away Win
3.97
27% pred
+2.1%
BTTS Yes 2.14 40%
BTTS No 1.66 53%

Key Insights

European Race

Málaga

Málaga in position 4 - competing for European qualification

Medium impact

European Race

Burgos

Burgos in position 7 - competing for European qualification

Medium impact

Streak Watch

Málaga

Málaga on 5-game winning streak - exceptional form

High impact

Home Fortress

Málaga

Málaga unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (6 wins, 2 draws) - strong home advantage

Medium impact

Away Specialist

Burgos

Burgos exceptional away form: 5 wins in last 8 away matches (62% win rate)

Medium impact

Match Normality

100%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff
Fri, Jan 23 2026 · 19:30
Venue
Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)
Competition
La Liga 2 · 23
Coaches
Juan Funes Arjona
Juan Funes Arjona
Málaga
Luis Ramis Monfort
Luis Ramis Monfort
Burgos
Referee
Lluís Bestard Servera Lluís Bestard Servera

Recent Form

Málaga Málaga
4W 1D 0L
2.2 GF · 1 GA
W H Burgos Burgos 3-0
W H Ceuta Ceuta 2-1
W H Almería Almería 2-1
D H Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-1
W H Mirandés Mirandés 3-2
4W 1D 0L
2.2 GF · 1 GA
W H Burgos Burgos 3-0
W H Ceuta Ceuta 2-1
W H Almería Almería 2-1
D H Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-1
W H Mirandés Mirandés 3-2
3W 0D 2L
1.8 GF · 1.2 GA
L A Mirandés Mirandés 1-2
W A Córdoba Córdoba 1-0
W A Sporting Gijón Sporting Gijón 3-1
W A Albacete Albacete 3-1
L A Talavera CF Talavera CF 1-2
4W 0D 1L
2 GF · 0.8 GA
L A Mirandés Mirandés 1-2
W H Burgos Burgos 3-0
W A Córdoba Córdoba 1-0
W H Ceuta Ceuta 2-1
W A Sporting Gijón Sporting Gijón 3-1
Burgos Burgos
2W 0D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.4 GA
L A Málaga Málaga 0-3
L A Córdoba Córdoba 0-2
W A Almería Almería 2-1
W A Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-0
L A Ceuta Ceuta 0-1
3W 1D 1L
1 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Leganés Leganés 2-1
W H Huesca Huesca 1-0
L H Valencia Valencia 0-2
W H SD Eibar SD Eibar 1-0
D H Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-1
2W 0D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.4 GA
L A Málaga Málaga 0-3
L A Córdoba Córdoba 0-2
W A Almería Almería 2-1
W A Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-0
L A Ceuta Ceuta 0-1
3W 0D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Leganés Leganés 2-1
L A Málaga Málaga 0-3
W H Huesca Huesca 1-0
L H Valencia Valencia 0-2
W H SD Eibar SD Eibar 1-0

Sidelined Players

Málaga Málaga 2 out
Luismi Sánchez
Luismi Sánchez
injury
Álex Pastor
Álex Pastor
injury
Burgos Burgos 0 out

No reported absences

Head-to-Head (Last 8)

Málaga
1
13%
Draws
3
38%
Burgos
4
50%
Avg Goals
2.1
BTTS
38%

League Signals

Predictability
51%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+11%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.2
LOW
Draw Rate
30%
BTTS
47%
Over 2.5
40%

Final Words

Málaga enter this match in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. The head-to-head favors Burgos in recent meetings.