Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bologna - Europa League Prediction

Value Assessment

Home Win

8.87

37% pred

+25.4%

VALUE

Draw

5.31

26% pred

+6.9%

VALUE

Away Win

1.33

38% pred

-37.6%

BTTS Yes 1.94 41%

BTTS No 1.81 48%

Best Opportunity

VALUE

Home Win @ 8.87

+25.4% edge 37% probability

Expected value: +2.25 units per bet

Confidence

Low

56%

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

Maccabi Tel Aviv in position 36 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Must Win

Maccabi Tel Aviv in position 36 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

Maccabi Tel Aviv on 5-game losing streak - crisis form

High impact

BTTS Tendency

Bologna matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 36.7% home win vs 11.3% market consensus - higher probability, 25.4% gap

High impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 37.6% away win vs 75.2% market consensus - lower probability, 37.6% gap

High impact

Match Normality

70%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff

Thu, Jan 29 2026 · 20:00

Venue

TSC Arena (Bačka Topola)

Competition

Europa League · League Stage , 8

Coaches

Ronny Deila

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Andrade Davis Nicolas

Bologna

Referee

Goga Kikacheishvili

Recent Form

Maccabi Tel Aviv

1W 0D 4L

0.8 GF · 3.2 GA

L H Bologna

Bologna 0-3

L H

Olympique Lyonnais 0-6

L H

FC Midtjylland 0-3

L H

Dinamo Zagreb 1-3

W H

Dynamo Kyiv 3-1

1W 0D 4L

0.8 GF · 3.2 GA

L H Bologna

Bologna 0-3

L H

Olympique Lyonnais 0-6

L H

FC Midtjylland 0-3

L H

Dinamo Zagreb 1-3

W H

Dynamo Kyiv 3-1

0W 1D 4L

0.2 GF · 1.6 GA

L A

SC Freiburg 0-1

L A

VfB Stuttgart 1-4

L A

Aston Villa 0-2

D A PAOK

PAOK 0-0

L A

Dynamo Kyiv 0-1

0W 0D 5L

0.2 GF · 3.2 GA

L H Bologna

Bologna 0-3

L A

SC Freiburg 0-1

L A

VfB Stuttgart 1-4

L H

Olympique Lyonnais 0-6

L A

Aston Villa 0-2

Bologna

2W 1D 2L

2 GF · 1.8 GA

W A

Maccabi Tel Aviv 3-0

L A Genoa

Genoa 2-3

W A

Hellas Verona 3-2

D A Como

Como 1-1

L A Inter

Inter 1-3

0W 2D 3L

0.8 GF · 2 GA

L H

AC Milan 0-3

D H Celtic

Celtic 2-2

L H

Fiorentina 1-2

L H

Atalanta 0-2

D H

Sassuolo 1-1

2W 1D 2L

2 GF · 1.8 GA

W A

Maccabi Tel Aviv 3-0

L A Genoa

Genoa 2-3

W A

Hellas Verona 3-2

D A Como

Como 1-1

L A Inter

Inter 1-3

1W 1D 3L

1.6 GF · 2 GA

L H

AC Milan 0-3

W A

Maccabi Tel Aviv 3-0

L A Genoa

Genoa 2-3

D H Celtic

Celtic 2-2

L H

Fiorentina 1-2

Sidelined Players

Maccabi Tel Aviv 5 out

Kristijan Belic

injury

Denny Gropper

injury

Ori Azo

injury

Mohamed Camara

injury

Ion Nicolaescu

injury

Bologna 2 out

Jhon Lucumí

injury

Lorenzo De Silvestri

injury

Head-to-Head (Last 1)

Maccabi Tel Aviv

0

0%

Draws

0

0%

Bologna

1

100%

Avg Goals

3.0

BTTS

0%

League Signals

Predictability

56%

MEDIUM

Home Bias

+12%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

2.9

MEDIUM

Draw Rate

21%

BTTS

53%

Over 2.5

56%

Final Words

Maccabi Tel Aviv have struggled recently, winning just 0 of their last 5 matches. Bologna have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.