Luzern vs St. Gallen

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.36
33% pred
-9.8%
Draw
3.60
27% pred
-1.0%
Away Win
2.65
41% pred
+2.8%
BTTS Yes 1.48 47%
BTTS No 2.53 41%

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

Luzern

Luzern in position 10 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

High Scoring

Luzern

Luzern involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

Luzern

Luzern matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

St. Gallen

St. Gallen matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Top Scorer

St. Gallen

St. Gallen has Alessandro Vogt ranked #3 in league scoring (10 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 47.3% BTTS vs 67.6% market consensus - lower probability, 20.3% gap

Medium impact

Upset Alert

Luzern

Luzern (position 10) is favorite despite being 7 places below St. Gallen (position 3) - potential upset or market overreaction

Medium impact

Match Normality

90%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sun, Feb 1 2026 · 13:00
Venue
Sportplatz Chrüzmatt (Wangen bei Olten)
Competition
Super League · 22
Coaches
Mario Frick
Mario Frick
Luzern
Enrico Maaßen
Enrico Maaßen
St. Gallen
Referee
Fedayi San Fedayi San

Recent Form

Luzern Luzern
0W 2D 3L
1.6 GF · 2.8 GA
D H St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-2
L H Lugano Lugano 2-5
L H Basel Basel 1-2
L H Winterthur Winterthur 1-3
D H Servette Servette 2-2
0W 2D 3L
1.6 GF · 2.8 GA
D H St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-2
L H Lugano Lugano 2-5
L H Basel Basel 1-2
L H Winterthur Winterthur 1-3
D H Servette Servette 2-2
1W 1D 3L
1.6 GF · 2 GA
D A Sion Sion 1-1
W A Lausanne Sport Lausanne Sport 4-0
L A Young Boys Young Boys 0-2
L A Thun Thun 1-4
L A Zürich Zürich 2-3
1W 2D 2L
2 GF · 2 GA
D H St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-2
D A Sion Sion 1-1
L H Lugano Lugano 2-5
W A Lausanne Sport Lausanne Sport 4-0
L H Basel Basel 1-2
St. Gallen St. Gallen
3W 2D 0L
1.8 GF · 0.8 GA
D A Luzern Luzern 2-2
W A Grasshopper Grasshopper 2-1
W A Thun Thun 2-0
D A Basel Basel 0-0
W A Lugano Lugano 3-1
2W 0D 3L
1.6 GF · 2.2 GA
L H Servette Servette 2-4
W H Sion Sion 3-1
L H Zürich Zürich 1-2
W H Lausanne Sport Lausanne Sport 1-0
L H Young Boys Young Boys 1-4
3W 2D 0L
1.8 GF · 0.8 GA
D A Luzern Luzern 2-2
W A Grasshopper Grasshopper 2-1
W A Thun Thun 2-0
D A Basel Basel 0-0
W A Lugano Lugano 3-1
3W 1D 1L
2.2 GF · 1.6 GA
D A Luzern Luzern 2-2
L H Servette Servette 2-4
W A Grasshopper Grasshopper 2-1
W H Sion Sion 3-1
W A Thun Thun 2-0

Sidelined Players

Luzern Luzern 0 out

No reported absences

St. Gallen St. Gallen 9 out
Colin Kleine-Bekel
Colin Kleine-Bekel
injury
Enoch Owusu
Enoch Owusu
injury
Corsin Konietzke
Corsin Konietzke
injury
Betim Fazliji
Betim Fazliji
injury
Behar Neziri
Behar Neziri
injury

+4 more

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Luzern
4
40%
Draws
5
50%
St. Gallen
1
10%
Avg Goals
2.6
BTTS
70%

League Signals

Predictability
52%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
28%
BTTS
61%
Over 2.5
57%

Final Words

Luzern have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Historically, Luzern have dominated this fixture.