Just Football Predictions

Luzern vs Lugano

Full Time
Super League Sportplatz Chrüzmatt
Luzern

Luzern

2
-
5
Lugano

Lugano

Value Assessment Best Opportunity Key Insights Match Context Recent Form Sidelined Head-to-Head League Signals Final Words

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.69
34% pred
-3.1%
Draw
3.28
20% pred
-10.3%
Away Win
2.50
46% pred
+5.7%
VALUE
BTTS Yes 1.55 51%
BTTS No 2.34 40%

Key Insights

Title Race

Lugano

Lugano in position 3, 4 points behind leader - competing for title

Medium impact

Relegation Zone

Luzern

Luzern in position 9 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

Medium impact

Streak Watch

Lugano

Lugano unbeaten in 5 games (4 wins, 1 draws) - solid defensive form

Medium impact

Away Specialist

Lugano

Lugano exceptional away form: 5 wins in last 8 away matches (62% win rate)

Medium impact

High Scoring

Luzern

Luzern involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

Match Normality

100%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Jan 17 2026 · 17:00
Venue
Sportplatz Chrüzmatt (Wangen bei Olten)
Competition
Super League · 20
Coaches
Mario Frick
Mario Frick
Luzern
Mattia Croci-Torti
Mattia Croci-Torti
Lugano
Referee
Urs Schnyder Urs Schnyder

Recent Form

Luzern Luzern
0W 2D 3L
1.6 GF · 2.8 GA
D H St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-2
L H Lugano Lugano 2-5
L H Basel Basel 1-2
L H Winterthur Winterthur 1-3
D H Servette Servette 2-2
0W 2D 3L
1.6 GF · 2.8 GA
D H St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-2
L H Lugano Lugano 2-5
L H Basel Basel 1-2
L H Winterthur Winterthur 1-3
D H Servette Servette 2-2
1W 1D 3L
1.6 GF · 2 GA
D A Sion Sion 1-1
W A Lausanne Sport Lausanne Sport 4-0
L A Young Boys Young Boys 0-2
L A Thun Thun 1-4
L A Zürich Zürich 2-3
1W 2D 2L
2 GF · 2 GA
D H St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-2
D A Sion Sion 1-1
L H Lugano Lugano 2-5
W A Lausanne Sport Lausanne Sport 4-0
L H Basel Basel 1-2
Lugano Lugano
3W 2D 0L
1.6 GF · 0.6 GA
D A Grasshopper Grasshopper 1-1
W A Luzern Luzern 5-2
W A Zürich Zürich 1-0
D A Lausanne Sport Lausanne Sport 0-0
W A Thun Thun 1-0
3W 1D 1L
2.6 GF · 1.4 GA
W H Winterthur Winterthur 4-1
W H Young Boys Young Boys 3-0
W H Servette Servette 4-2
D H Sion Sion 1-1
L H St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-3
3W 2D 0L
1.6 GF · 0.6 GA
D A Grasshopper Grasshopper 1-1
W A Luzern Luzern 5-2
W A Zürich Zürich 1-0
D A Lausanne Sport Lausanne Sport 0-0
W A Thun Thun 1-0
4W 1D 0L
2.8 GF · 0.8 GA
D A Grasshopper Grasshopper 1-1
W H Winterthur Winterthur 4-1
W A Luzern Luzern 5-2
W H Young Boys Young Boys 3-0
W A Zürich Zürich 1-0

Sidelined Players

Luzern Luzern 0 out

No reported absences

Lugano Lugano 6 out
Martim Marques
Martim Marques
injury
Antonios Papadopoulos
Antonios Papadopoulos
injury
Pablo Acebal
Pablo Acebal
injury
Hannes Delcroix
Hannes Delcroix
injury
Diego Mina
Diego Mina
injury

+1 more

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Luzern
2
20%
Draws
1
10%
Lugano
7
70%
Avg Goals
3.4
BTTS
50%

League Signals

Predictability
52%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
28%
BTTS
61%
Over 2.5
57%

Final Words

Luzern have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Lugano arrive in strong form with 4 wins from 5 games. The head-to-head favors Lugano in recent meetings.