Value Assessment
Home Win
1.31
62% pred
-14.5%
Draw
5.24
21% pred
+1.4%
Away Win
8.41
18% pred
+5.8%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.73
47%
BTTS No
2.02
45%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
8.41
+5.8% edge
18% probability
Expected value: +0.49 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
66%
Key Insights
Title Race
Lugano in position 2, 4 points behind leader - competing for title
Medium impactRelegation Zone
Winterthur in position 12 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
High impactStreak Watch
Lugano on 5-game winning streak - exceptional form
High impactStreak Watch
Winterthur without a win in 5 games (1 draws, 4 losses) - struggling for results
High impactHigh Scoring
Winterthur involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5
Medium impactMatch Normality
100%
Normal match expected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Jan 24 2026
·
17:00
Venue
Stadio di Cornaredo
(Lugano)
Competition
Super League
·
21
Coaches
Mattia Croci-Torti
Lugano
Patrick Rahmen
Winterthur
Referee
Hüseyin Sanli
Recent Form
Lugano
3W 1D 1L
2.6 GF · 1.4 GA
W
H
Winterthur
4-1
Winterthur
4-1
W
H
Young Boys
3-0
Young Boys
3-0
W
H
Servette
4-2
Servette
4-2
D
H
Sion
1-1
Sion
1-1
L
H
St. Gallen
1-3
St. Gallen
1-3
3W 1D 1L
2.6 GF · 1.4 GA
W
H
Winterthur
4-1
Winterthur
4-1
W
H
Young Boys
3-0
Young Boys
3-0
W
H
Servette
4-2
Servette
4-2
D
H
Sion
1-1
Sion
1-1
L
H
St. Gallen
1-3
St. Gallen
1-3
3W 2D 0L
1.6 GF · 0.6 GA
D
A
Grasshopper
1-1
Grasshopper
1-1
W
A
Luzern
5-2
Luzern
5-2
W
A
Zürich
1-0
Zürich
1-0
D
A
Lausanne Sport
0-0
Lausanne Sport
0-0
W
A
Thun
1-0
Thun
1-0
4W 1D 0L
2.8 GF · 0.8 GA
D
A
Grasshopper
1-1
Grasshopper
1-1
W
H
Winterthur
4-1
Winterthur
4-1
W
A
Luzern
5-2
Luzern
5-2
W
H
Young Boys
3-0
Young Boys
3-0
W
A
Zürich
1-0
Zürich
1-0
Winterthur
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 2.8 GA
L
A
Lugano
1-4
Lugano
1-4
L
A
Sion
0-2
Sion
0-2
D
A
Zürich
2-2
Zürich
2-2
W
A
Luzern
3-1
Luzern
3-1
L
A
Young Boys
0-5
Young Boys
0-5
2W 0D 3L
1.6 GF · 2 GA
W
H
Lausanne Sport
2-1
Lausanne Sport
2-1
L
H
Thun
1-4
Thun
1-4
L
H
Basel
1-2
Basel
1-2
L
H
Grasshopper
0-1
Grasshopper
0-1
W
H
Servette
4-2
Servette
4-2
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 2.8 GA
L
A
Lugano
1-4
Lugano
1-4
L
A
Sion
0-2
Sion
0-2
D
A
Zürich
2-2
Zürich
2-2
W
A
Luzern
3-1
Luzern
3-1
L
A
Young Boys
0-5
Young Boys
0-5
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 2.6 GA
W
H
Lausanne Sport
2-1
Lausanne Sport
2-1
L
A
Lugano
1-4
Lugano
1-4
L
A
Sion
0-2
Sion
0-2
L
H
Thun
1-4
Thun
1-4
D
A
Zürich
2-2
Zürich
2-2
Sidelined Players
Lugano
5 out
Martim Marques
injury
Antonios Papadopoulos
injury
Pablo Acebal
injury
Diego Mina
injury
Claudio Cassano
injury
Winterthur
7 out
Dario Ulrich
injury
Loïc Lüthi
injury
Souleymane Diaby
injury
Basil Stillhart
injury
Luca Zuffi
injury
+2 more
Head-to-Head
No previous meetings found
League Signals
Predictability
52%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
28%
BTTS
61%
Over 2.5
57%
Final Words
Lugano enter this match in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. Winterthur have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.