Value Assessment
Home Win
1.72
45% pred
-13.5%
Draw
3.94
25% pred
-0.1%
Away Win
4.38
30% pred
+7.3%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.66
46%
BTTS No
2.14
43%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
4.38
+7.3% edge
30% probability
Expected value: +0.32 units per bet
Confidence
Low
58%
Key Insights
Relegation Zone
Nice in position 33 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
Medium impactRotation Risk
Nice has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Medium impactMust Win
Ludogorets in position 22 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
High impactMust Win
Nice in position 33 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
High impactLeaky Defense
Nice has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals
Medium impactTop Scorer
Ludogorets has Petar Stanic ranked #1 in league scoring (7 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactMatch Normality
85%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Thu, Jan 29 2026
·
20:00
Venue
Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)
(Razgrad)
Competition
Europa League
·
League Stage
, 8
Coaches
Per-Mathias Høgmo
Ludogorets
Claude Puel
Nice
Referee
Ondřej Berka
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Ludogorets
3W 1D 1L
2.2 GF · 1.6 GA
W
H
Nice
1-0
Nice
1-0
D
H
PAOK
3-3
PAOK
3-3
W
H
Celta de Vigo
3-2
Celta de Vigo
3-2
L
H
Real Betis
0-2
Real Betis
0-2
W
H
Skendija 79
4-1
Skendija 79
4-1
3W 1D 1L
2.2 GF · 1.6 GA
W
H
Nice
1-0
Nice
1-0
D
H
PAOK
3-3
PAOK
3-3
W
H
Celta de Vigo
3-2
Celta de Vigo
3-2
L
H
Real Betis
0-2
Real Betis
0-2
W
H
Skendija 79
4-1
Skendija 79
4-1
1W 0D 4L
1.2 GF · 2 GA
L
A
Rangers
0-1
Rangers
0-1
L
A
Ferencvárosi
1-3
Ferencvárosi
1-3
L
A
Young Boys
2-3
Young Boys
2-3
W
A
Malmö FF
2-1
Malmö FF
2-1
L
A
Skendija 79
1-2
Skendija 79
1-2
2W 1D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.8 GA
W
H
Nice
1-0
Nice
1-0
L
A
Rangers
0-1
Rangers
0-1
D
H
PAOK
3-3
PAOK
3-3
W
H
Celta de Vigo
3-2
Celta de Vigo
3-2
L
A
Ferencvárosi
1-3
Ferencvárosi
1-3
Nice
1W 0D 4L
1.2 GF · 2.4 GA
L
A
Ludogorets
0-1
Ludogorets
0-1
W
A
Nantes
4-1
Nantes
4-1
L
A
Toulouse
1-5
Toulouse
1-5
L
A
Lens
0-2
Lens
0-2
L
A
Lorient
1-3
Lorient
1-3
1W 3D 1L
1.2 GF · 1 GA
D
H
Monaco
0-0
Monaco
0-0
D
H
Brest
2-2
Brest
2-2
W
H
Go Ahead Eagles
3-1
Go Ahead Eagles
3-1
D
H
Strasbourg
1-1
Strasbourg
1-1
L
H
Sporting Braga
0-1
Sporting Braga
0-1
1W 0D 4L
1.2 GF · 2.4 GA
L
A
Ludogorets
0-1
Ludogorets
0-1
W
A
Nantes
4-1
Nantes
4-1
L
A
Toulouse
1-5
Toulouse
1-5
L
A
Lens
0-2
Lens
0-2
L
A
Lorient
1-3
Lorient
1-3
2W 2D 1L
1.8 GF · 1 GA
D
H
Monaco
0-0
Monaco
0-0
D
H
Brest
2-2
Brest
2-2
L
A
Ludogorets
0-1
Ludogorets
0-1
W
A
Nantes
4-1
Nantes
4-1
W
H
Go Ahead Eagles
3-1
Go Ahead Eagles
3-1
Sidelined Players
Ludogorets
6 out
Matheus Machado
suspended
Aguibou Camara
injury
Dinis Almeida
suspended
Yves Erick Bile
suspended
Aguibou Camara
suspended
+1 more
Nice
4 out
Youssouf Ndayishimiye
injury
Moïse Bombito
injury
Melvin Bard
injury
Mohamed Abdelmonem
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 1)
Ludogorets
1
100%
Draws
0
0%
Nice
0
0%
Avg Goals
1.0
BTTS
0%
League Signals
Predictability
56%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+12%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
21%
BTTS
53%
Over 2.5
56%