Value Assessment
Home Win
2.24
53% pred
+8.8%
VALUE
Draw
3.35
24% pred
-6.3%
Away Win
3.10
23% pred
-9.2%
BTTS Yes
1.71
48%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Home Win
@
2.24
+8.8% edge
53% probability
Expected value: +0.20 units per bet
Confidence
High
75%
Match Info
Kickoff
Fri, Dec 26 2025
·
15:00
Venue
King Power Stadium
(Leicester)
Competition
Championship
·
23
Coaches
Martí Cifuentes Corvillo
Leicester City
Edward Still
Watford
Referee
Joshua Smith
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Leicester City
2W 0D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
L
H
Charlton Athletic
0-2
Charlton Athletic
0-2
L
H
Oxford United
1-2
Oxford United
1-2
W
H
West Bromwich Albion
2-1
West Bromwich Albion
2-1
W
H
Derby County
2-1
Derby County
2-1
L
H
Watford
1-2
Watford
1-2
2W 0D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
L
H
Charlton Athletic
0-2
Charlton Athletic
0-2
L
H
Oxford United
1-2
Oxford United
1-2
W
H
West Bromwich Albion
2-1
West Bromwich Albion
2-1
W
H
Derby County
2-1
Derby County
2-1
L
H
Watford
1-2
Watford
1-2
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
L
A
Birmingham City
1-2
Birmingham City
1-2
D
A
Wrexham
1-1
Wrexham
1-1
L
A
Coventry City
1-2
Coventry City
1-2
W
A
Cheltenham Town
2-0
Cheltenham Town
2-0
L
A
Sheffield United
1-3
Sheffield United
1-3
0W 1D 4L
0.8 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Birmingham City
1-2
Birmingham City
1-2
L
H
Charlton Athletic
0-2
Charlton Athletic
0-2
L
H
Oxford United
1-2
Oxford United
1-2
D
A
Wrexham
1-1
Wrexham
1-1
L
A
Coventry City
1-2
Coventry City
1-2
Watford
1W 2D 2L
0.6 GF · 1.4 GA
L
A
Southampton
0-1
Southampton
0-1
D
A
Hull City
0-0
Hull City
0-0
D
A
Blackburn Rovers
1-1
Blackburn Rovers
1-1
L
A
Bristol City
1-5
Bristol City
1-5
W
A
Norwich City
1-0
Norwich City
1-0
2W 1D 2L
1 GF · 1 GA
L
H
Swansea City
0-2
Swansea City
0-2
D
H
Portsmouth
1-1
Portsmouth
1-1
L
H
Millwall
0-2
Millwall
0-2
W
H
Birmingham City
3-0
Birmingham City
3-0
W
H
Stoke City
1-0
Stoke City
1-0
1W 2D 2L
0.6 GF · 1.4 GA
L
A
Southampton
0-1
Southampton
0-1
D
A
Hull City
0-0
Hull City
0-0
D
A
Blackburn Rovers
1-1
Blackburn Rovers
1-1
L
A
Bristol City
1-5
Bristol City
1-5
W
A
Norwich City
1-0
Norwich City
1-0
0W 3D 2L
0.4 GF · 1 GA
L
A
Southampton
0-1
Southampton
0-1
D
A
Hull City
0-0
Hull City
0-0
L
H
Swansea City
0-2
Swansea City
0-2
D
A
Blackburn Rovers
1-1
Blackburn Rovers
1-1
D
H
Portsmouth
1-1
Portsmouth
1-1
Sidelined Players
Leicester City
2 out
Harry Winks
suspended
Hamza Choudhury
injury
Watford
1 out
Rocco Vata
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Leicester City
7
70%
Draws
1
10%
Watford
2
20%
Avg Goals
3.4
BTTS
70%
League Signals
Predictability
50%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.5
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
26%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
46%
Final Words
Leicester City have struggled recently, winning just 0 of their last 5 matches. Watford have been inconsistent, managing just 0 win in their last 5. Historically, Leicester City have dominated this fixture.