Legia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce - Ekstraklasa Prediction

Value Assessment

Home Win

1.84

39% pred

-15.7%

Draw

3.40

29% pred

-0.5%

Away Win

4.15

32% pred

+8.3%

VALUE

BTTS Yes 1.85 45%

BTTS No 1.90 44%

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

Legia Warszawa in position 17 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

European Race

Korona Kielce in position 7 - competing for European qualification

Medium impact

Must Win

Legia Warszawa in position 17 with poor recent form (13% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Leaky Defense

Legia Warszawa has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals

Medium impact

Upset Alert

Legia Warszawa (position 17) is favorite despite being 10 places below Korona Kielce (position 7) - potential upset or market overreaction

High impact

Match Normality

90%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff

Sun, Feb 1 2026 · 16:30

Venue

Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego (Warszawa)

Competition

Ekstraklasa · 19

Coaches

Marek Papszun

Legia Warszawa

Jacek Zielinski

Korona Kielce

Referee

Patryk Gryckiewicz

Recent Form

Legia Warszawa

1W 1D 3L

1.4 GF · 1.4 GA

L H

Korona Kielce 1-2

W H

Lincoln Red Imps 4-1

L H

Piast Gliwice 0-1

L H

Sparta Praha 0-1

D H

Lechia Gdańsk 2-2

1W 1D 3L

1.4 GF · 1.4 GA

L H

Korona Kielce 1-2

W H

Lincoln Red Imps 4-1

L H

Piast Gliwice 0-1

L H

Sparta Praha 0-1

D H

Lechia Gdańsk 2-2

0W 2D 3L

0.8 GF · 1.6 GA

L A Noah

Noah 1-2

L A

Piast Gliwice 0-2

D A

Motor Lublin 1-1

L A Celje

Celje 1-2

D A

Widzew Lodz 1-1

1W 0D 4L

1.2 GF · 1.6 GA

L H

Korona Kielce 1-2

W H

Lincoln Red Imps 4-1

L H

Piast Gliwice 0-1

L A Noah

Noah 1-2

L A

Piast Gliwice 0-2

Korona Kielce

2W 1D 2L

1.2 GF · 1.2 GA

W A

Legia Warszawa 2-1

W A

Widzew Lodz 3-1

D A

Piast Gliwice 0-0

L A

Katowice 0-1

L A

Jagiellonia Białystok 1-3

1W 2D 2L

1.2 GF · 1.4 GA

D H

Wisła Płock 1-1

L H

Cracovia Kraków 0-1

L H

Raków Częstochowa 1-4

D H

Górnik Zabrze 1-1

W H

Lechia Gdańsk 3-0

2W 1D 2L

1.2 GF · 1.2 GA

W A

Legia Warszawa 2-1

W A

Widzew Lodz 3-1

D A

Piast Gliwice 0-0

L A

Katowice 0-1

L A

Jagiellonia Białystok 1-3

2W 1D 2L

1.4 GF · 1.6 GA

W A

Legia Warszawa 2-1

D H

Wisła Płock 1-1

L H

Cracovia Kraków 0-1

W A

Widzew Lodz 3-1

L H

Raków Częstochowa 1-4

Sidelined Players

Legia Warszawa 3 out

Juergen Elitim

injury

Rúben Vinagre

injury

Jean-Pierre Nsame

injury

Korona Kielce 1 out

Stjepan Davidovic

injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Legia Warszawa

6

60%

Draws

3

30%

Korona Kielce

1

10%

Avg Goals

2.9

BTTS

60%

League Signals

Predictability

48%

LOW

Home Bias

+8%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

2.6

MEDIUM

Draw Rate

27%

BTTS

52%

Over 2.5

48%

Final Words

Legia Warszawa have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Historically, Legia Warszawa have dominated this fixture.