Value Assessment
Home Win
3.23
45% pred
+14.0%
VALUE
Draw
3.26
25% pred
-5.8%
Away Win
2.27
30% pred
-13.9%
BTTS Yes
1.79
53%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Home Win
@
3.23
+14.0% edge
45% probability
Expected value: +0.45 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
69%
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Nov 23 2025
·
14:00
Venue
Elland Road
(Leeds)
Competition
Premier League
·
12
Coaches
Daniel Farke
Leeds United
Unai Emery
Aston Villa
Referee
Robert Jones
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Leeds United
3W 1D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.4 GA
W
H
Nottingham Forest
3-1
Nottingham Forest
3-1
L
H
Arsenal
0-4
Arsenal
0-4
W
H
Fulham
1-0
Fulham
1-0
D
H
Manchester United
1-1
Manchester United
1-1
W
H
Crystal Palace
4-1
Crystal Palace
4-1
3W 1D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.4 GA
W
H
Nottingham Forest
3-1
Nottingham Forest
3-1
L
H
Arsenal
0-4
Arsenal
0-4
W
H
Fulham
1-0
Fulham
1-0
D
H
Manchester United
1-1
Manchester United
1-1
W
H
Crystal Palace
4-1
Crystal Palace
4-1
1W 3D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.4 GA
D
A
Everton
1-1
Everton
1-1
W
A
Derby County
3-1
Derby County
3-1
L
A
Newcastle United
3-4
Newcastle United
3-4
D
A
Liverpool
0-0
Liverpool
0-0
D
A
Sunderland
1-1
Sunderland
1-1
3W 1D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.4 GA
W
H
Nottingham Forest
3-1
Nottingham Forest
3-1
L
H
Arsenal
0-4
Arsenal
0-4
D
A
Everton
1-1
Everton
1-1
W
H
Fulham
1-0
Fulham
1-0
W
A
Derby County
3-1
Derby County
3-1
Aston Villa
3W 2D 0L
1.2 GF · 0.4 GA
D
A
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
W
A
Newcastle United
2-0
Newcastle United
2-0
W
A
Fenerbahçe
1-0
Fenerbahçe
1-0
W
A
Tottenham Hotspur
2-1
Tottenham Hotspur
2-1
D
A
Crystal Palace
0-0
Crystal Palace
0-0
3W 0D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.2 GA
L
H
Brentford
0-1
Brentford
0-1
W
H
Salzburg
3-2
Salzburg
3-2
L
H
Everton
0-1
Everton
0-1
W
H
Nottingham Forest
3-1
Nottingham Forest
3-1
W
H
Manchester United
2-1
Manchester United
2-1
3W 2D 0L
1.2 GF · 0.4 GA
D
A
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
W
A
Newcastle United
2-0
Newcastle United
2-0
W
A
Fenerbahçe
1-0
Fenerbahçe
1-0
W
A
Tottenham Hotspur
2-1
Tottenham Hotspur
2-1
D
A
Crystal Palace
0-0
Crystal Palace
0-0
3W 1D 1L
1.4 GF · 0.8 GA
D
A
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
L
H
Brentford
0-1
Brentford
0-1
W
H
Salzburg
3-2
Salzburg
3-2
W
A
Newcastle United
2-0
Newcastle United
2-0
W
A
Fenerbahçe
1-0
Fenerbahçe
1-0
Sidelined Players
Leeds United
3 out
Daniel James
injury
Anton Stach
injury
Pascal Struijk
injury
Aston Villa
4 out
John McGinn
injury
Youri Tielemans
injury
Andrés García
injury
Boubacar Kamara
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Leeds United
5
50%
Draws
3
30%
Aston Villa
2
20%
Avg Goals
2.7
BTTS
50%
League Signals
Predictability
46%
LOW
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
23%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
56%
Final Words
Historically, Leeds United have dominated this fixture.