Value Assessment
Home Win
2.71
32% pred
-4.5%
Draw
2.91
30% pred
-4.5%
Away Win
2.90
38% pred
+3.2%
MARGINAL
BTTS Yes
2.07
39%
BTTS No
1.71
57%
Key Insights
Relegation Zone
Lecce in position 16 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
Medium impactRotation Risk
Parma has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Medium impactMust Win
Lecce in position 16 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
High impactMatch Normality
75%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Jan 11 2026
·
11:30
Venue
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
(Lecce)
Competition
Serie A
·
20
Coaches
Eusebio Di Francesco
Lecce
Carlos Antón Cuesta
Parma
Referee
Livio Marinelli
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Lecce
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W
H
Udinese
2-1
Udinese
2-1
D
H
Lazio
0-0
Lazio
0-0
L
H
Parma
1-2
Parma
1-2
L
H
Roma
0-2
Roma
0-2
L
H
Como
0-3
Como
0-3
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W
H
Udinese
2-1
Udinese
2-1
D
H
Lazio
0-0
Lazio
0-0
L
H
Parma
1-2
Parma
1-2
L
H
Roma
0-2
Roma
0-2
L
H
Como
0-3
Como
0-3
0W 1D 4L
0.2 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Torino
0-1
Torino
0-1
L
A
AC Milan
0-1
AC Milan
0-1
L
A
Inter
0-1
Inter
0-1
D
A
Juventus
1-1
Juventus
1-1
L
A
Cremonese
0-2
Cremonese
0-2
1W 1D 3L
0.4 GF · 0.8 GA
W
H
Udinese
2-1
Udinese
2-1
L
A
Torino
0-1
Torino
0-1
D
H
Lazio
0-0
Lazio
0-0
L
A
AC Milan
0-1
AC Milan
0-1
L
A
Inter
0-1
Inter
0-1
Parma
2W 2D 1L
0.8 GF · 1.2 GA
W
A
Bologna
1-0
Bologna
1-0
L
A
Atalanta
0-4
Atalanta
0-4
D
A
Napoli
0-0
Napoli
0-0
W
A
Lecce
2-1
Lecce
2-1
D
A
Sassuolo
1-1
Sassuolo
1-1
1W 1D 3L
0.4 GF · 1.4 GA
L
H
Juventus
1-4
Juventus
1-4
D
H
Genoa
0-0
Genoa
0-0
L
H
Inter
0-2
Inter
0-2
W
H
Fiorentina
1-0
Fiorentina
1-0
L
H
Lazio
0-1
Lazio
0-1
2W 2D 1L
0.8 GF · 1.2 GA
W
A
Bologna
1-0
Bologna
1-0
L
A
Atalanta
0-4
Atalanta
0-4
D
A
Napoli
0-0
Napoli
0-0
W
A
Lecce
2-1
Lecce
2-1
D
A
Sassuolo
1-1
Sassuolo
1-1
1W 2D 2L
0.4 GF · 1.6 GA
W
A
Bologna
1-0
Bologna
1-0
L
H
Juventus
1-4
Juventus
1-4
L
A
Atalanta
0-4
Atalanta
0-4
D
H
Genoa
0-0
Genoa
0-0
D
A
Napoli
0-0
Napoli
0-0
Sidelined Players
Lecce
1 out
Francesco Camarda
injury
Parma
6 out
Nahuel Estévez
injury
Pontus Almqvist
injury
Vicente Guaita
injury
Zion Suzuki
injury
Lautaro Valenti
injury
+1 more
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Lecce
4
40%
Draws
2
20%
Parma
4
40%
Avg Goals
3.5
BTTS
60%
League Signals
Predictability
54%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
51%
Final Words
Lecce have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Parma have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.