Value Assessment
Home Win
1.68
41% pred
-18.1%
Draw
3.77
28% pred
+1.4%
Away Win
5.15
31% pred
+11.3%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.87
44%
BTTS No
1.90
52%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
5.15
+11.3% edge
31% probability
Expected value: +0.58 units per bet
Confidence
High
76%
Key Insights
Rotation Risk
Juventus has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Medium impactRotation Risk
Benfica has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Medium impactMust Win
Benfica in position 29 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
High impactHome Fortress
Juventus unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (6 wins, 2 draws) - strong home advantage
Medium impactAway Specialist
Benfica exceptional away form: 5 wins in last 8 away matches (62% win rate)
Medium impactMatch Normality
65%
Significant concerns
Match Info
Kickoff
Wed, Jan 21 2026
·
20:00
Venue
Allianz Stadium
(Torino)
Competition
Champions League
·
League Stage
, 7
Coaches
Luciano Spalletti
Juventus
José Mourinho
Benfica
Referee
Serdar Gözübüyük
Recent Form
Juventus
4W 1D 0L
2.6 GF · 0.4 GA
W
H
Napoli
3-0
Napoli
3-0
W
H
Benfica
2-0
Benfica
2-0
W
H
Cremonese
5-0
Cremonese
5-0
D
H
Lecce
1-1
Lecce
1-1
W
H
Roma
2-1
Roma
2-1
4W 1D 0L
2.6 GF · 0.4 GA
W
H
Napoli
3-0
Napoli
3-0
W
H
Benfica
2-0
Benfica
2-0
W
H
Cremonese
5-0
Cremonese
5-0
D
H
Lecce
1-1
Lecce
1-1
W
H
Roma
2-1
Roma
2-1
3W 1D 1L
1.8 GF · 0.4 GA
W
A
Parma
4-1
Parma
4-1
D
A
Monaco
0-0
Monaco
0-0
L
A
Cagliari
0-1
Cagliari
0-1
W
A
Sassuolo
3-0
Sassuolo
3-0
W
A
Pisa
2-0
Pisa
2-0
3W 1D 1L
1.8 GF · 0.4 GA
W
A
Parma
4-1
Parma
4-1
D
A
Monaco
0-0
Monaco
0-0
W
H
Napoli
3-0
Napoli
3-0
W
H
Benfica
2-0
Benfica
2-0
L
A
Cagliari
0-1
Cagliari
0-1
Benfica
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
D
A
Tondela
0-0
Tondela
0-0
L
A
Juventus
0-2
Juventus
0-2
W
A
Rio Ave
2-0
Rio Ave
2-0
D
A
Sporting Braga
2-2
Sporting Braga
2-2
W
A
Moreirense
4-0
Moreirense
4-0
5W 0D 0L
2.8 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Real Madrid
4-2
Real Madrid
4-2
W
H
Estrela Amadora
4-0
Estrela Amadora
4-0
W
H
Estoril
3-1
Estoril
3-1
W
H
Famalicão
1-0
Famalicão
1-0
W
H
Napoli
2-0
Napoli
2-0
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
D
A
Tondela
0-0
Tondela
0-0
L
A
Juventus
0-2
Juventus
0-2
W
A
Rio Ave
2-0
Rio Ave
2-0
D
A
Sporting Braga
2-2
Sporting Braga
2-2
W
A
Moreirense
4-0
Moreirense
4-0
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 0.8 GA
D
A
Tondela
0-0
Tondela
0-0
W
H
Real Madrid
4-2
Real Madrid
4-2
W
H
Estrela Amadora
4-0
Estrela Amadora
4-0
L
A
Juventus
0-2
Juventus
0-2
W
A
Rio Ave
2-0
Rio Ave
2-0
Sidelined Players
Juventus
2 out
Kenan Yıldız
injury
Dušan Vlahović
injury
Benfica
5 out
Gianluca Prestianni
suspended
João Veloso
injury
Dodi Lukébakio
injury
Henrique Araújo
injury
Richard Ríos
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 6)
Juventus
1
17%
Draws
1
17%
Benfica
4
67%
Avg Goals
2.8
BTTS
50%
League Signals
Predictability
57%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
20%
BTTS
51%
Over 2.5
57%
Final Words
The head-to-head favors Benfica in recent meetings.