Inter vs Napoli

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.75
45% pred
-11.8%
Draw
3.45
32% pred
+2.6%
Away Win
5.07
23% pred
+3.3%
MARGINAL
BTTS Yes 2.09 49%
BTTS No 1.71 46%

Key Insights

Title Race

Inter

Inter leading the table - high motivation to maintain position

High impact

European Race

Napoli

Napoli in position 4 - competing for European qualification

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

Inter

Inter has 5 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

High impact

Rotation Risk

Napoli

Napoli has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Match Normality

60%

Significant concerns

Match Info

Kickoff
Sun, Jan 11 2026 · 19:45
Venue
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (Milano)
Competition
Serie A · 20
Coaches
Cristian Chivu
Cristian Chivu
Inter
Antonio Conte
Antonio Conte
Napoli
Referee
Daniele Doveri Daniele Doveri

Recent Form

Inter Inter
3W 1D 1L
2.4 GF · 1.6 GA
W H Torino Torino 2-1
W H Pisa Pisa 6-2
L H Arsenal Arsenal 1-3
W H Lecce Lecce 1-0
D H Napoli Napoli 2-2
3W 1D 1L
2.4 GF · 1.6 GA
W H Torino Torino 2-1
W H Pisa Pisa 6-2
L H Arsenal Arsenal 1-3
W H Lecce Lecce 1-0
D H Napoli Napoli 2-2
5W 0D 0L
2.4 GF · 0 GA
W A Sassuolo Sassuolo 5-0
W A Cremonese Cremonese 2-0
W A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-0
W A Udinese Udinese 1-0
W A Parma Parma 2-0
5W 0D 0L
3.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W A Sassuolo Sassuolo 5-0
W H Torino Torino 2-1
W A Cremonese Cremonese 2-0
W A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-0
W H Pisa Pisa 6-2
Napoli Napoli
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W A Genoa Genoa 3-2
L A Juventus Juventus 0-3
D A FC København FC København 1-1
D A Inter Inter 2-2
W A Lazio Lazio 2-0
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-1
L H Chelsea Chelsea 2-3
W H Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-0
D H Parma Parma 0-0
D H Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-2
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W A Genoa Genoa 3-2
L A Juventus Juventus 0-3
D A FC København FC København 1-1
D A Inter Inter 2-2
W A Lazio Lazio 2-0
2W 1D 2L
1.6 GF · 2 GA
W A Genoa Genoa 3-2
W H Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-1
L H Chelsea Chelsea 2-3
L A Juventus Juventus 0-3
D A FC København FC København 1-1

Sidelined Players

Inter Inter 3 out
Joaquín Correa
Joaquín Correa
injury
Denzel Dumfries
Denzel Dumfries
injury
Nicolò Barella
Nicolò Barella
injury
Napoli Napoli 3 out
Frank Anguissa 
Frank Anguissa 
injury
Giovanni Di Lorenzo 
Giovanni Di Lorenzo 
injury
Kevin De Bruyne 
Kevin De Bruyne 
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Inter
3
30%
Draws
5
50%
Napoli
2
20%
Avg Goals
2.9
BTTS
80%

League Signals

Predictability
54%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
51%

Final Words

Inter enter this match in excellent form, winning 5 of their last 5 matches.