Inter vs Lecce

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.18
75% pred
-10.2%
Draw
7.17
18% pred
+3.9%
MARGINAL
Away Win
15.69
8% pred
+1.3%
BTTS Yes 2.41 33%
BTTS No 1.54 64%

Key Insights

Title Race

Inter

Inter leading the table - high motivation to maintain position

High impact

Relegation Zone

Lecce

Lecce in position 17 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

Inter

Inter has 5 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

High impact

Must Win

Lecce

Lecce in position 17 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

Inter

Inter unbeaten in 5 games (4 wins, 1 draws) - solid defensive form

Medium impact

Match Normality

60%

Significant concerns

Match Info

Kickoff
Wed, Jan 14 2026 · 19:45
Venue
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (Milano)
Competition
Serie A · 16
Coaches
Cristian Chivu
Cristian Chivu
Inter
Eusebio Di Francesco
Eusebio Di Francesco
Lecce
Referee
Fabio Maresca Fabio Maresca

Recent Form

Inter Inter
3W 1D 1L
2.4 GF · 1.6 GA
W H Torino Torino 2-1
W H Pisa Pisa 6-2
L H Arsenal Arsenal 1-3
W H Lecce Lecce 1-0
D H Napoli Napoli 2-2
3W 1D 1L
2.4 GF · 1.6 GA
W H Torino Torino 2-1
W H Pisa Pisa 6-2
L H Arsenal Arsenal 1-3
W H Lecce Lecce 1-0
D H Napoli Napoli 2-2
5W 0D 0L
2.4 GF · 0 GA
W A Sassuolo Sassuolo 5-0
W A Cremonese Cremonese 2-0
W A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-0
W A Udinese Udinese 1-0
W A Parma Parma 2-0
5W 0D 0L
3.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W A Sassuolo Sassuolo 5-0
W H Torino Torino 2-1
W A Cremonese Cremonese 2-0
W A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-0
W H Pisa Pisa 6-2
Lecce Lecce
0W 1D 4L
0.2 GF · 1.2 GA
L A Torino Torino 0-1
L A AC Milan AC Milan 0-1
L A Inter Inter 0-1
D A Juventus Juventus 1-1
L A Cremonese Cremonese 0-2
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W H Udinese Udinese 2-1
D H Lazio Lazio 0-0
L H Parma Parma 1-2
L H Roma Roma 0-2
L H Como Como 0-3
0W 1D 4L
0.2 GF · 1.2 GA
L A Torino Torino 0-1
L A AC Milan AC Milan 0-1
L A Inter Inter 0-1
D A Juventus Juventus 1-1
L A Cremonese Cremonese 0-2
1W 1D 3L
0.4 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Udinese Udinese 2-1
L A Torino Torino 0-1
D H Lazio Lazio 0-0
L A AC Milan AC Milan 0-1
L A Inter Inter 0-1

Sidelined Players

Inter Inter 3 out
Joaquín Correa
Joaquín Correa
injury
Denzel Dumfries
Denzel Dumfries
injury
Nicolò Barella
Nicolò Barella
injury
Lecce Lecce 1 out
Francesco Camarda
Francesco Camarda
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Inter
8
80%
Draws
1
10%
Lecce
1
10%
Avg Goals
2.5
BTTS
20%

League Signals

Predictability
54%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
51%

Final Words

Inter vs. Lecce kicks off at 19:45 [GMT] on Wednesday, January 14, at the San Siro.
Inter Inter

<p>Inter [WWWWD] will host Lecce at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in a Serie A fixture that highlights the contrasting trajectories of the two sides this season. Sitting proudly at the top of the table with 43 points, Inter enter the match as clear favourites, while Lecce arrive in Milan hovering just above the relegation zone in 17th place with 17 points.</p> <p>Inter were unable to claim a win over Napoli in Super Sunday’s top-of-the-table clash, which ended 2-2. The Nerazzurri have been in commanding form across competitions, winning 67 per cent of their last six matches.</p> <p>That consistency has been a defining feature of their campaign, allowing them to establish themselves as the team to beat in Serie A. Over a longer stretch, Inter’s reliability becomes even more apparent, with no defeats recorded in 44 of their last 52 league games.</p> <p>Inter’s dominance is even more pronounced when examining their record against Lecce. The Milanese giants have won all of their last six Serie A meetings with the Salento-based side and remain unbeaten in the last eight league encounters overall.</p> <p>At the Giuseppe Meazza, the trend is firmly one-sided, with Inter having secured 11 home victories against Lecce in Serie A. These statistics reinforce the historical imbalance between the two clubs and suggest that Inter will approach the match with confidence rather than caution.</p> <p>A 3-5-2 formation with Lautaro Martinez and Marcus Thuram in attack may be seen against Lecce.</p>

Lecce Lecce

<p>Lecce have endured a difficult campaign, marked by inconsistency and defensive fragility. They have managed just one win in their last six Serie A matches [WLDWW] and have lost 53 percent of their league fixtures this season. Away from home, their problems are particularly evident, conceding an average of 1.50 goals per match.</p> <p>Against an Inter side that applies sustained pressure and capitalises efficiently on scoring opportunities, those defensive shortcomings could once again be exposed.</p> <p>From Inter’s perspective, this fixture represents a valuable opportunity to maintain momentum and strengthen their grip on first place.</p> <p>For Lecce, the challenge is substantial but not without significance.</p> <p>Any positive result at the Meazza would be a major boost in their battle for survival.</p> <p>To achieve that, they will likely need a disciplined defensive structure, a compact shape, and maximum efficiency in transition, while hoping to frustrate Inter and limit their rhythm.</p> <p>A 4-2-3-1 formation with Nikola Štulić in attack is expected against Inter.</p> <p>Kialonda Gaspar and Lameck Banda are both suspended, having been sent off in the 2-1 loss to Parma.</p>