Heracles Almelo vs Fortuna Sittard - Eredivisie Prediction

Value Assessment

Home Win

2.22

43% pred

-2.5%

Draw

3.38

25% pred

-4.4%

Away Win

3.13

32% pred

+0.3%

BTTS Yes 1.70 48%

BTTS No 2.10 39%

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

Heracles Almelo in position 16 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Must Win

Heracles Almelo in position 16 with poor recent form (27% points) - must-win situation

High impact

BTTS Tendency

Fortuna Sittard matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 7 of last 8 matches (88%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Leaky Defense

Heracles Almelo has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals

Medium impact

Leaky Defense

Fortuna Sittard has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Heracles Almelo has Jizz Hornkamp ranked #7 in league scoring (10 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Upset Alert

Heracles Almelo (position 16) is favorite despite being 5 places below Fortuna Sittard (position 11) - potential upset or market overreaction

Medium impact

Match Normality

75%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff

Sun, Feb 1 2026 · 13:30

Venue

Asito Stadion (Almelo)

Competition

Eredivisie · 21

Coaches

Ernest Faber

Heracles Almelo

Danny Buijs

Fortuna Sittard

Referee

Richard Martens

Recent Form

Heracles Almelo

2W 1D 2L

1.4 GF · 1.8 GA

W H

Fortuna Sittard 2-1

L H

FC Twente 0-2

L H

SC Heerenveen 0-3

D H Telstar

Telstar 1-1

W H

Go Ahead Eagles 4-2

2W 1D 2L

1.4 GF · 1.8 GA

W H

Fortuna Sittard 2-1

L H

FC Twente 0-2

L H

SC Heerenveen 0-3

D H Telstar

Telstar 1-1

W H

Go Ahead Eagles 4-2

1W 1D 3L

1.6 GF · 2.4 GA

L A

Feyenoord 2-4

L A

Sparta Rotterdam 0-2

L A PSV

PSV 3-4

D A

Fortuna Sittard 1-1

W A

Excelsior 2-1

1W 0D 4L

0.8 GF · 2.4 GA

W H

Fortuna Sittard 2-1

L A

Feyenoord 2-4

L H

FC Twente 0-2

L A

Sparta Rotterdam 0-2

L H

SC Heerenveen 0-3

Fortuna Sittard

1W 2D 2L

1.2 GF · 1.4 GA

L A

Heracles Almelo 1-2

W A

FC Groningen 2-1

D A

Go Ahead Eagles 2-2

L A

PEC Zwolle 0-1

D A

Sparta Rotterdam 1-1

2W 1D 2L

1.8 GF · 1.8 GA

L H PSV

PSV 1-2

W H

AZ 4-3

L H Ajax

Ajax 1-3

D H

Heracles Almelo 1-1

W H

SC Heerenveen 2-0

1W 2D 2L

1.2 GF · 1.4 GA

L A

Heracles Almelo 1-2

W A

FC Groningen 2-1

D A

Go Ahead Eagles 2-2

L A

PEC Zwolle 0-1

D A

Sparta Rotterdam 1-1

2W 1D 2L

2 GF · 2 GA

L A

Heracles Almelo 1-2

W A

FC Groningen 2-1

L H PSV

PSV 1-2

D A

Go Ahead Eagles 2-2

W H

AZ 4-3

Sidelined Players

Heracles Almelo 2 out

Jeff Reine-Adélaïde

injury

Sem Scheperman

injury

Fortuna Sittard 3 out

Daley Sinkgraven

injury

Ramazan Bayram

injury

Luka Tunjic

injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Heracles Almelo

4

40%

Draws

3

30%

Fortuna Sittard

3

30%

Avg Goals

2.5

BTTS

60%

League Signals

Predictability

53%

MEDIUM

Home Bias

+8%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

3.0

HIGH

Draw Rate

24%

BTTS

55%

Over 2.5

58%

Final Words

Heracles Almelo have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches.