Value Assessment
Home Win
3.36
23% pred
-6.6%
Draw
2.88
29% pred
-6.1%
Away Win
2.41
48% pred
+6.8%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
2.21
48%
BTTS No
1.63
47%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
2.41
+6.8% edge
48% probability
Expected value: +0.16 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
66%
Key Insights
Relegation Zone
Hellas Verona in position 18 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
High impactRotation Risk
Hellas Verona has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Medium impactMust Win
Hellas Verona in position 18 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
High impactHigh Scoring
Hellas Verona involved in high-scoring games: 9 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5
Medium impactMatch Normality
85%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Jan 11 2026
·
17:00
Venue
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
(Verona)
Competition
Serie A
·
20
Coaches
Paolo Sammarco
Hellas Verona
Igor Lasicki
Lazio
Referee
Marco Guida
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Hellas Verona
0W 1D 4L
0.6 GF · 2 GA
D
H
Pisa
0-0
Pisa
0-0
L
H
Udinese
1-3
Udinese
1-3
L
H
Bologna
2-3
Bologna
2-3
L
H
Lazio
0-1
Lazio
0-1
L
H
Torino
0-3
Torino
0-3
0W 1D 4L
0.6 GF · 2 GA
D
H
Pisa
0-0
Pisa
0-0
L
H
Udinese
1-3
Udinese
1-3
L
H
Bologna
2-3
Bologna
2-3
L
H
Lazio
0-1
Lazio
0-1
L
H
Torino
0-3
Torino
0-3
1W 2D 2L
0.8 GF · 2 GA
L
A
Cagliari
0-4
Cagliari
0-4
D
A
Cremonese
0-0
Cremonese
0-0
D
A
Napoli
2-2
Napoli
2-2
L
A
AC Milan
0-3
AC Milan
0-3
W
A
Fiorentina
2-1
Fiorentina
2-1
0W 2D 3L
0.6 GF · 2 GA
D
H
Pisa
0-0
Pisa
0-0
L
A
Cagliari
0-4
Cagliari
0-4
L
H
Udinese
1-3
Udinese
1-3
D
A
Cremonese
0-0
Cremonese
0-0
L
H
Bologna
2-3
Bologna
2-3
Lazio
2W 3D 0L
1 GF · 0.6 GA
D
A
Juventus
2-2
Juventus
2-2
D
A
Lecce
0-0
Lecce
0-0
W
A
Hellas Verona
1-0
Hellas Verona
1-0
D
A
Udinese
1-1
Udinese
1-1
W
A
Parma
1-0
Parma
1-0
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.8 GA
W
H
Genoa
3-2
Genoa
3-2
L
H
Como
0-3
Como
0-3
D
H
Fiorentina
2-2
Fiorentina
2-2
L
H
Napoli
0-2
Napoli
0-2
D
H
Cremonese
0-0
Cremonese
0-0
2W 3D 0L
1 GF · 0.6 GA
D
A
Juventus
2-2
Juventus
2-2
D
A
Lecce
0-0
Lecce
0-0
W
A
Hellas Verona
1-0
Hellas Verona
1-0
D
A
Udinese
1-1
Udinese
1-1
W
A
Parma
1-0
Parma
1-0
2W 2D 1L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
D
A
Juventus
2-2
Juventus
2-2
W
H
Genoa
3-2
Genoa
3-2
D
A
Lecce
0-0
Lecce
0-0
L
H
Como
0-3
Como
0-3
W
A
Hellas Verona
1-0
Hellas Verona
1-0
Sidelined Players
Hellas Verona
4 out
Tomas Suslov
injury
Armel Bella-Kotchap
injury
Roberto Gagliardini
injury
Nicolás Valentini
injury
Lazio
4 out
Mattia Zaccagni
injury
Mario Gila
injury
Manuel Lazzari
injury
Toma Bašić
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Hellas Verona
1
10%
Draws
3
30%
Lazio
6
60%
Avg Goals
2.9
BTTS
50%
League Signals
Predictability
54%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
51%
Final Words
Hellas Verona have struggled recently, winning just 0 of their last 5 matches. The head-to-head favors Lazio in recent meetings.