Hearts vs St. Mirren

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.45
58% pred
-10.5%
Draw
4.25
24% pred
+0.9%
Away Win
6.63
17% pred
+2.0%
BTTS Yes 2.04 44%
BTTS No 1.72 51%

Key Insights

Title Race

Hearts

Hearts leading the table - high motivation to maintain position

High impact

Relegation Zone

St. Mirren

St. Mirren in position 10 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Home Fortress

Hearts

Hearts unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (6 wins, 2 draws) - strong home advantage

Medium impact

Match Normality

90%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff
Wed, Jan 14 2026 · 19:45
Venue
Tynecastle Park (Edinburgh)
Competition
Premiership · 17
Coaches
Derek McInnes
Derek McInnes
Hearts
Stephen Robinson
Stephen Robinson
St. Mirren
Referee
Kevin Clancy Kevin Clancy

Recent Form

Hearts Hearts
3W 2D 0L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
D H Celtic Celtic 2-2
W H St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-0
W H Livingston Livingston 1-0
W H Rangers Rangers 2-1
D H Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-1
3W 2D 0L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
D H Celtic Celtic 2-2
W H St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-0
W H Livingston Livingston 1-0
W H Rangers Rangers 2-1
D H Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-1
3W 0D 2L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
L A St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-1
W A Dundee United Dundee United 3-0
W A Dundee Dundee 1-0
L A Hibernian Hibernian 2-3
W A Falkirk Falkirk 2-0
3W 1D 1L
1.6 GF · 0.6 GA
L A St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-1
W A Dundee United Dundee United 3-0
D H Celtic Celtic 2-2
W H St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-0
W A Dundee Dundee 1-0
St. Mirren St. Mirren
0W 2D 3L
1 GF · 2 GA
D A Livingston Livingston 1-1
L A Hearts Hearts 0-2
L A Motherwell Motherwell 0-2
L A Rangers Rangers 1-2
D A Aberdeen Aberdeen 3-3
2W 2D 1L
0.4 GF · 0.4 GA
W H Hearts Hearts 1-0
D H Dundee Dundee 0-0
L H Falkirk Falkirk 0-2
D H Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-0
W H Livingston Livingston 1-0
0W 2D 3L
1 GF · 2 GA
D A Livingston Livingston 1-1
L A Hearts Hearts 0-2
L A Motherwell Motherwell 0-2
L A Rangers Rangers 1-2
D A Aberdeen Aberdeen 3-3
1W 2D 2L
0.4 GF · 1 GA
W H Hearts Hearts 1-0
D H Dundee Dundee 0-0
D A Livingston Livingston 1-1
L A Hearts Hearts 0-2
L H Falkirk Falkirk 0-2

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Hearts
5
50%
Draws
2
20%
St. Mirren
3
30%
Avg Goals
2.8
BTTS
50%

League Signals

Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
52%

Final Words

St. Mirren have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.