Value Assessment
Home Win
3.04
43% pred
+10.4%
VALUE
Draw
3.39
24% pred
-5.8%
Away Win
2.24
33% pred
-11.6%
BTTS Yes
1.66
54%
BTTS No
2.16
41%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Home Win
@
3.04
+10.4% edge
43% probability
Expected value: +0.31 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
65%
Key Insights
Title Race
Hearts leading the table - high motivation to maintain position
High impactTitle Race
Celtic in position 3, 6 points behind leader - competing for title
Medium impactRotation Risk
Celtic has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Medium impactHome Fortress
Hearts unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (5 wins, 3 draws) - strong home advantage
Medium impactHigh Scoring
Celtic involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5
Medium impactTop Scorer
Hearts has Lawrence Shankland ranked #3 in league scoring (11 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactTop Scorer
Celtic has Benjamin Nygren ranked #1 in league scoring (11 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactMatch Normality
85%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Jan 25 2026
·
15:00
Venue
Tynecastle Park
(Edinburgh)
Competition
Premiership
·
23
Coaches
Derek McInnes
Hearts
Martin O'Neill
Celtic
Referee
Steven McLean
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Hearts
3W 2D 0L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
D
H
Celtic
2-2
Celtic
2-2
W
H
St. Mirren
2-0
St. Mirren
2-0
W
H
Livingston
1-0
Livingston
1-0
W
H
Rangers
2-1
Rangers
2-1
D
H
Kilmarnock
1-1
Kilmarnock
1-1
3W 2D 0L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
D
H
Celtic
2-2
Celtic
2-2
W
H
St. Mirren
2-0
St. Mirren
2-0
W
H
Livingston
1-0
Livingston
1-0
W
H
Rangers
2-1
Rangers
2-1
D
H
Kilmarnock
1-1
Kilmarnock
1-1
3W 0D 2L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
L
A
St. Mirren
0-1
St. Mirren
0-1
W
A
Dundee United
3-0
Dundee United
3-0
W
A
Dundee
1-0
Dundee
1-0
L
A
Hibernian
2-3
Hibernian
2-3
W
A
Falkirk
2-0
Falkirk
2-0
3W 1D 1L
1.6 GF · 0.6 GA
L
A
St. Mirren
0-1
St. Mirren
0-1
W
A
Dundee United
3-0
Dundee United
3-0
D
H
Celtic
2-2
Celtic
2-2
W
H
St. Mirren
2-0
St. Mirren
2-0
W
A
Dundee
1-0
Dundee
1-0
Celtic
2W 2D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.6 GA
D
A
Hearts
2-2
Hearts
2-2
D
A
Bologna
2-2
Bologna
2-2
W
A
Falkirk
1-0
Falkirk
1-0
L
A
Motherwell
0-2
Motherwell
0-2
W
A
Livingston
4-2
Livingston
4-2
4W 0D 1L
2.8 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Falkirk
2-0
Falkirk
2-0
W
H
FC Utrecht
4-2
FC Utrecht
4-2
W
H
Dundee United
4-0
Dundee United
4-0
L
H
Rangers
1-3
Rangers
1-3
W
H
Aberdeen
3-1
Aberdeen
3-1
2W 2D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.6 GA
D
A
Hearts
2-2
Hearts
2-2
D
A
Bologna
2-2
Bologna
2-2
W
A
Falkirk
1-0
Falkirk
1-0
L
A
Motherwell
0-2
Motherwell
0-2
W
A
Livingston
4-2
Livingston
4-2
3W 2D 0L
2.2 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Falkirk
2-0
Falkirk
2-0
W
H
FC Utrecht
4-2
FC Utrecht
4-2
D
A
Hearts
2-2
Hearts
2-2
D
A
Bologna
2-2
Bologna
2-2
W
A
Falkirk
1-0
Falkirk
1-0
Sidelined Players
Hearts
0 out
No reported absences
Celtic
1 out
Luis Palma
suspension
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Hearts
4
40%
Draws
1
10%
Celtic
5
50%
Avg Goals
3.3
BTTS
50%
League Signals
Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
52%