Hearts vs Celtic

Value Assessment

Home Win
3.04
43% pred
+10.4%
VALUE
Draw
3.39
24% pred
-5.8%
Away Win
2.24
33% pred
-11.6%
BTTS Yes 1.66 54%
BTTS No 2.16 41%

Key Insights

Title Race

Hearts

Hearts leading the table - high motivation to maintain position

High impact

Title Race

Celtic

Celtic in position 3, 6 points behind leader - competing for title

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

Celtic

Celtic has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Home Fortress

Hearts

Hearts unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (5 wins, 3 draws) - strong home advantage

Medium impact

High Scoring

Celtic

Celtic involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Hearts

Hearts has Lawrence Shankland ranked #3 in league scoring (11 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Celtic

Celtic has Benjamin Nygren ranked #1 in league scoring (11 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

85%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sun, Jan 25 2026 · 15:00
Venue
Tynecastle Park (Edinburgh)
Competition
Premiership · 23
Coaches
Derek McInnes
Derek McInnes
Hearts
Martin O'Neill
Martin O'Neill
Celtic
Referee
Steven McLean Steven McLean

Recent Form

Hearts Hearts
3W 2D 0L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
D H Celtic Celtic 2-2
W H St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-0
W H Livingston Livingston 1-0
W H Rangers Rangers 2-1
D H Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-1
3W 2D 0L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
D H Celtic Celtic 2-2
W H St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-0
W H Livingston Livingston 1-0
W H Rangers Rangers 2-1
D H Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-1
3W 0D 2L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
L A St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-1
W A Dundee United Dundee United 3-0
W A Dundee Dundee 1-0
L A Hibernian Hibernian 2-3
W A Falkirk Falkirk 2-0
3W 1D 1L
1.6 GF · 0.6 GA
L A St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-1
W A Dundee United Dundee United 3-0
D H Celtic Celtic 2-2
W H St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-0
W A Dundee Dundee 1-0
Celtic Celtic
2W 2D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.6 GA
D A Hearts Hearts 2-2
D A Bologna Bologna 2-2
W A Falkirk Falkirk 1-0
L A Motherwell Motherwell 0-2
W A Livingston Livingston 4-2
4W 0D 1L
2.8 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Falkirk Falkirk 2-0
W H FC Utrecht FC Utrecht 4-2
W H Dundee United Dundee United 4-0
L H Rangers Rangers 1-3
W H Aberdeen Aberdeen 3-1
2W 2D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.6 GA
D A Hearts Hearts 2-2
D A Bologna Bologna 2-2
W A Falkirk Falkirk 1-0
L A Motherwell Motherwell 0-2
W A Livingston Livingston 4-2
3W 2D 0L
2.2 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Falkirk Falkirk 2-0
W H FC Utrecht FC Utrecht 4-2
D A Hearts Hearts 2-2
D A Bologna Bologna 2-2
W A Falkirk Falkirk 1-0

Sidelined Players

Hearts Hearts 0 out

No reported absences

Celtic Celtic 1 out
Luis Palma
Luis Palma
suspension

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Hearts
4
40%
Draws
1
10%
Celtic
5
50%
Avg Goals
3.3
BTTS
50%

League Signals

Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
52%