Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern München - Bundesliga Prediction

Value Assessment

Home Win

8.50

16% pred

+4.5%

MARGINAL

Draw

5.98

21% pred

+4.6%

MARGINAL

Away Win

1.29

62% pred

-15.1%

BTTS Yes 1.69 44%

BTTS No 2.11 45%

Key Insights

Title Race

FC Bayern München leading the table - high motivation to maintain position

High impact

Streak Watch

Hamburger SV without a win in 5 games (3 draws, 2 losses) - struggling for results

High impact

Away Specialist

FC Bayern München exceptional away form: 6 wins in last 8 away matches (75% win rate)

Medium impact

High Scoring

FC Bayern München involved in high-scoring games: 9 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

FC Bayern München matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Top Scorer

FC Bayern München has Harry Kane ranked #1 in league scoring (21 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

95%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff

Sat, Jan 31 2026 · 17:30

Venue

Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)

Competition

Bundesliga · 20

Coaches

Merlin Polzin

Hamburger SV

Vincent Kompany

FC Bayern München

Referee

Harm Osmers

Related Coverage

League season story Hamburger SV form report FC Bayern München form report

Recent Form

Hamburger SV

2W 3D 0L

1.6 GF · 1.2 GA

D H

FC Bayern München 2-2

D H

Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0

D H

Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1

W H

Werder Bremen 3-2

W H

VfB Stuttgart 2-1

2W 3D 0L

1.6 GF · 1.2 GA

D H

FC Bayern München 2-2

D H

Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0

D H

Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1

W H

Werder Bremen 3-2

W H

VfB Stuttgart 2-1

1W 1D 3L

0.8 GF · 1.4 GA

W A

Heidenheim 2-0

D A

St. Pauli 0-0

L A

SC Freiburg 1-2

L A

TSG Hoffenheim 1-4

L A

FC Augsburg 0-1

1W 3D 1L

1 GF · 0.8 GA

W A

Heidenheim 2-0

D H

FC Bayern München 2-2

D A

St. Pauli 0-0

D H

Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0

L A

SC Freiburg 1-2

FC Bayern München

4W 1D 0L

3.2 GF · 1 GA

D A

Hamburger SV 2-2

W A PSV

PSV 2-1

W A

RB Leipzig 5-1

W A

FC Köln 3-1

W A

Heidenheim 4-0

3W 1D 1L

3.6 GF · 1.2 GA

W H

TSG Hoffenheim 5-1

L H

FC Augsburg 1-2

W H

Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0

W H

VfL Wolfsburg 8-1

D H

FSV Mainz 05 2-2

4W 1D 0L

3.2 GF · 1 GA

D A

Hamburger SV 2-2

W A PSV

PSV 2-1

W A

RB Leipzig 5-1

W A

FC Köln 3-1

W A

Heidenheim 4-0

3W 1D 1L

2.4 GF · 1.2 GA

W H

TSG Hoffenheim 5-1

D A

Hamburger SV 2-2

W A PSV

PSV 2-1

L H

FC Augsburg 1-2

W H

Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0

Sidelined Players

Hamburger SV 4 out

Albert Grønbæk

injury

Jean-Luc Dompé

injury

Albert Sambi Lokonga

injury

Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit

injury

FC Bayern München 2 out

Jamal Musiala

injury

Manuel Neuer

injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Hamburger SV

0

0%

Draws

2

20%

FC Bayern München

8

80%

Avg Goals

4.1

BTTS

20%

League Signals

Predictability

55%

MEDIUM

Home Bias

+9%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

3.1

HIGH

Draw Rate

25%

BTTS

60%

Over 2.5

60%

Final Words

Hamburger SV have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. The head-to-head favors FC Bayern München in recent meetings.