Value Assessment
Home Win
2.52
28% pred
-12.1%
Draw
3.09
30% pred
-2.5%
Away Win
2.69
42% pred
+5.3%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.83
42%
BTTS No
1.86
51%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
2.69
+5.3% edge
42% probability
Expected value: +0.14 units per bet
Confidence
Low
57%
Key Insights
Relegation Zone
Gorica in position 8 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
Medium impactEuropean Race
Varaždin in position 6 - competing for European qualification
Medium impactStreak Watch
Gorica without a win in 5 games (1 draws, 4 losses) - struggling for results
High impactTop Scorer
Varaždin has Ivan Mamut ranked #7 in league scoring (6 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactMatch Normality
95%
Normal match expected
Match Info
Kickoff
Mon, Jan 26 2026
·
15:00
Venue
ŠRC Velika Gorica
(Velika Gorica)
Competition
1. HNL
·
19
Coaches
Mario Carević
Gorica
Nikola Šafarić
Varaždin
Referee
Dario Bel
Recent Form
Gorica
2W 1D 2L
0.8 GF · 1 GA
W
H
Hajduk Split
1-0
Hajduk Split
1-0
L
H
Varaždin
1-2
Varaždin
1-2
L
H
Dinamo Zagreb
0-2
Dinamo Zagreb
0-2
W
H
Istra 1961
1-0
Istra 1961
1-0
D
H
Vukovar
1-1
Vukovar
1-1
2W 1D 2L
0.8 GF · 1 GA
W
H
Hajduk Split
1-0
Hajduk Split
1-0
L
H
Varaždin
1-2
Varaždin
1-2
L
H
Dinamo Zagreb
0-2
Dinamo Zagreb
0-2
W
H
Istra 1961
1-0
Istra 1961
1-0
D
H
Vukovar
1-1
Vukovar
1-1
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Rijeka
0-1
Rijeka
0-1
D
A
Osijek
1-1
Osijek
1-1
L
A
Slaven Koprivnica
1-2
Slaven Koprivnica
1-2
W
A
Dinamo Zagreb
2-1
Dinamo Zagreb
2-1
L
A
Istra 1961
0-1
Istra 1961
0-1
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Hajduk Split
1-0
Hajduk Split
1-0
L
H
Varaždin
1-2
Varaždin
1-2
L
A
Rijeka
0-1
Rijeka
0-1
D
A
Osijek
1-1
Osijek
1-1
L
A
Slaven Koprivnica
1-2
Slaven Koprivnica
1-2
Varaždin
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
W
A
Slaven Koprivnica
2-0
Slaven Koprivnica
2-0
W
A
Gorica
2-1
Gorica
2-1
L
A
Vukovar
0-2
Vukovar
0-2
D
A
Hajduk Split
1-1
Hajduk Split
1-1
L
A
Dinamo Zagreb
1-3
Dinamo Zagreb
1-3
3W 0D 2L
1.8 GF · 1.8 GA
L
H
Istra 1961
1-3
Istra 1961
1-3
W
H
Lokomotiva Zagreb
4-2
Lokomotiva Zagreb
4-2
W
H
Rijeka
1-0
Rijeka
1-0
L
H
Slaven Koprivnica
1-3
Slaven Koprivnica
1-3
W
H
Vukovar
2-1
Vukovar
2-1
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
W
A
Slaven Koprivnica
2-0
Slaven Koprivnica
2-0
W
A
Gorica
2-1
Gorica
2-1
L
A
Vukovar
0-2
Vukovar
0-2
D
A
Hajduk Split
1-1
Hajduk Split
1-1
L
A
Dinamo Zagreb
1-3
Dinamo Zagreb
1-3
3W 0D 2L
1.8 GF · 1.6 GA
W
A
Slaven Koprivnica
2-0
Slaven Koprivnica
2-0
W
A
Gorica
2-1
Gorica
2-1
L
H
Istra 1961
1-3
Istra 1961
1-3
L
A
Vukovar
0-2
Vukovar
0-2
W
H
Lokomotiva Zagreb
4-2
Lokomotiva Zagreb
4-2
Sidelined Players
Gorica
2 out
Sekou Matar Sagna
injury
Jurica Prsir
suspension
Varaždin
1 out
Thierry Nevers
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Gorica
1
10%
Draws
4
40%
Varaždin
5
50%
Avg Goals
2.5
BTTS
70%
League Signals
Predictability
48%
LOW
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
26%
BTTS
48%
Over 2.5
48%
Final Words
Gorica have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. The head-to-head favors Varaždin in recent meetings.