Value Assessment
Home Win
7.09
20% pred
+6.1%
VALUE
Draw
5.36
22% pred
+3.4%
MARGINAL
Away Win
1.37
58% pred
-15.2%
BTTS Yes
1.57
54%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Home Win
@
7.09
+6.1% edge
20% probability
Expected value: +0.43 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
72%
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Nov 30 2025
·
20:00
Venue
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
(Girona)
Competition
La Liga
·
14
Coaches
Míchel
Girona
Arbeloa
Real Madrid
Referee
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
Recent Form
Girona
2W 2D 1L
0.8 GF · 1 GA
D
H
Getafe
1-1
Getafe
1-1
W
H
Osasuna
1-0
Osasuna
1-0
L
H
Atlético Madrid
0-3
Atlético Madrid
0-3
D
H
Real Madrid
1-1
Real Madrid
1-1
W
H
Deportivo Alavés
1-0
Deportivo Alavés
1-0
2W 2D 1L
0.8 GF · 1 GA
D
H
Getafe
1-1
Getafe
1-1
W
H
Osasuna
1-0
Osasuna
1-0
L
H
Atlético Madrid
0-3
Atlético Madrid
0-3
D
H
Real Madrid
1-1
Real Madrid
1-1
W
H
Deportivo Alavés
1-0
Deportivo Alavés
1-0
3W 0D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Real Oviedo
0-1
Real Oviedo
0-1
W
A
Espanyol
2-0
Espanyol
2-0
W
A
Mallorca
2-1
Mallorca
2-1
W
A
Real Sociedad
2-1
Real Sociedad
2-1
L
A
Elche
0-3
Elche
0-3
3W 1D 1L
1.2 GF · 0.6 GA
L
A
Real Oviedo
0-1
Real Oviedo
0-1
D
H
Getafe
1-1
Getafe
1-1
W
A
Espanyol
2-0
Espanyol
2-0
W
H
Osasuna
1-0
Osasuna
1-0
W
A
Mallorca
2-1
Mallorca
2-1
Real Madrid
3W 0D 2L
2.2 GF · 2 GA
L
A
Benfica
2-4
Benfica
2-4
W
A
Villarreal
2-0
Villarreal
2-0
L
A
Albacete
2-3
Albacete
2-3
W
A
Talavera CF
3-2
Talavera CF
3-2
W
A
Deportivo Alavés
2-1
Deportivo Alavés
2-1
5W 0D 0L
3.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
W
H
Monaco
6-1
Monaco
6-1
W
H
Levante
2-0
Levante
2-0
W
H
Real Betis
5-1
Real Betis
5-1
W
H
Sevilla
2-0
Sevilla
2-0
3W 0D 2L
2.2 GF · 2 GA
L
A
Benfica
2-4
Benfica
2-4
W
A
Villarreal
2-0
Villarreal
2-0
L
A
Albacete
2-3
Albacete
2-3
W
A
Talavera CF
3-2
Talavera CF
3-2
W
A
Deportivo Alavés
2-1
Deportivo Alavés
2-1
4W 0D 1L
2.8 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
L
A
Benfica
2-4
Benfica
2-4
W
A
Villarreal
2-0
Villarreal
2-0
W
H
Monaco
6-1
Monaco
6-1
W
H
Levante
2-0
Levante
2-0
Sidelined Players
Girona
6 out
Marc-André ter Stegen
injury
Miguel Gutiérrez
injury
Donny van de Beek
injury
Juan Carlos
injury
Azzedine Ounahi
injury
+1 more
Real Madrid
6 out
Rodrygo
suspended
Raúl Asencio
suspended
Éder Militão
injury
Ferland Mendy
injury
Antonio Rüdiger
injury
+1 more
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Girona
2
20%
Draws
2
20%
Real Madrid
6
60%
Avg Goals
3.5
BTTS
60%
League Signals
Predictability
46%
LOW
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
51%
Over 2.5
46%
Final Words
Real Madrid arrive in strong form with 4 wins from 5 games. The head-to-head favors Real Madrid in recent meetings.