Value Assessment
Home Win
2.16
40% pred
-6.5%
Draw
2.92
27% pred
-6.9%
Away Win
3.92
33% pred
+7.4%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
2.25
48%
MARGINAL
BTTS No
1.61
47%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
3.92
+7.4% edge
33% probability
Expected value: +0.29 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
68%
Key Insights
Relegation Zone
Getafe in position 18 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
High impactMust Win
Getafe in position 18 with poor recent form (27% points) - must-win situation
High impactStreak Watch
Getafe without a win in 5 games (2 draws, 3 losses) - struggling for results
High impactLeaky Defense
Getafe has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals
Medium impactMatch Normality
100%
Normal match expected
Match Info
Kickoff
Mon, Jan 26 2026
·
20:00
Venue
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
(Girona)
Competition
La Liga
·
21
Coaches
Míchel
Girona
José Bordalás Jiménez
Getafe
Referee
Alejandro Quintero González
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Girona
2W 2D 1L
0.8 GF · 1 GA
D
H
Getafe
1-1
Getafe
1-1
W
H
Osasuna
1-0
Osasuna
1-0
L
H
Atlético Madrid
0-3
Atlético Madrid
0-3
D
H
Real Madrid
1-1
Real Madrid
1-1
W
H
Deportivo Alavés
1-0
Deportivo Alavés
1-0
2W 2D 1L
0.8 GF · 1 GA
D
H
Getafe
1-1
Getafe
1-1
W
H
Osasuna
1-0
Osasuna
1-0
L
H
Atlético Madrid
0-3
Atlético Madrid
0-3
D
H
Real Madrid
1-1
Real Madrid
1-1
W
H
Deportivo Alavés
1-0
Deportivo Alavés
1-0
3W 1D 1L
1.4 GF · 0.8 GA
D
A
Sevilla
1-1
Sevilla
1-1
L
A
Real Oviedo
0-1
Real Oviedo
0-1
W
A
Espanyol
2-0
Espanyol
2-0
W
A
Mallorca
2-1
Mallorca
2-1
W
A
Real Sociedad
2-1
Real Sociedad
2-1
2W 2D 1L
1 GF · 0.6 GA
D
A
Sevilla
1-1
Sevilla
1-1
L
A
Real Oviedo
0-1
Real Oviedo
0-1
D
H
Getafe
1-1
Getafe
1-1
W
A
Espanyol
2-0
Espanyol
2-0
W
H
Osasuna
1-0
Osasuna
1-0
Getafe
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.8 GA
W
A
Deportivo Alavés
2-0
Deportivo Alavés
2-0
D
A
Girona
1-1
Girona
1-1
D
A
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
L
A
Real Betis
0-4
Real Betis
0-4
L
A
Burgos
1-3
Burgos
1-3
1W 1D 3L
0.4 GF · 0.8 GA
D
H
Celta de Vigo
0-0
Celta de Vigo
0-0
L
H
Valencia
0-1
Valencia
0-1
L
H
Real Sociedad
1-2
Real Sociedad
1-2
L
H
Espanyol
0-1
Espanyol
0-1
W
H
Elche
1-0
Elche
1-0
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.8 GA
W
A
Deportivo Alavés
2-0
Deportivo Alavés
2-0
D
A
Girona
1-1
Girona
1-1
D
A
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
L
A
Real Betis
0-4
Real Betis
0-4
L
A
Burgos
1-3
Burgos
1-3
1W 2D 2L
0.8 GF · 0.8 GA
W
A
Deportivo Alavés
2-0
Deportivo Alavés
2-0
D
H
Celta de Vigo
0-0
Celta de Vigo
0-0
D
A
Girona
1-1
Girona
1-1
L
H
Valencia
0-1
Valencia
0-1
L
H
Real Sociedad
1-2
Real Sociedad
1-2
Sidelined Players
Girona
7 out
Marc-André ter Stegen
injury
Miguel Gutiérrez
injury
Donny van de Beek
injury
Marc-André ter Stegen
injury
Juan Carlos
injury
+2 more
Getafe
3 out
Allan Nyom
injury
Mauro Arambarri
injury
Borja Mayoral
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Girona
3
30%
Draws
2
20%
Getafe
5
50%
Avg Goals
2.6
BTTS
60%
League Signals
Predictability
46%
LOW
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
51%
Over 2.5
46%
Final Words
Getafe have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.