Value Assessment
Home Win
1.74
46% pred
-11.7%
Draw
3.49
27% pred
-1.6%
Away Win
4.80
27% pred
+6.4%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.97
39%
BTTS No
1.78
57%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
4.80
+6.4% edge
27% probability
Expected value: +0.31 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
66%
Key Insights
Relegation Zone
Nacional in position 14 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
Medium impactStreak Watch
Gil Vicente unbeaten in 5 games (1 wins, 4 draws) - solid defensive form
Medium impactMatch Normality
100%
Normal match expected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Jan 17 2026
·
15:30
Venue
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
(Barcelos)
Competition
Liga Portugal
·
18
Coaches
César Peixoto
Gil Vicente
Tiago Carvalho Margarido
Nacional
Referee
Miguel Bertolo Nogueira
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Gil Vicente
2W 2D 1L
2 GF · 1 GA
W
H
Famalicão
5-0
Famalicão
5-0
W
H
Nacional
2-1
Nacional
2-1
D
H
Sporting CP
1-1
Sporting CP
1-1
D
H
Rio Ave
2-2
Rio Ave
2-2
L
H
Tondela
0-1
Tondela
0-1
2W 2D 1L
2 GF · 1 GA
W
H
Famalicão
5-0
Famalicão
5-0
W
H
Nacional
2-1
Nacional
2-1
D
H
Sporting CP
1-1
Sporting CP
1-1
D
H
Rio Ave
2-2
Rio Ave
2-2
L
H
Tondela
0-1
Tondela
0-1
1W 3D 1L
1 GF · 1.4 GA
W
A
Moreirense
2-1
Moreirense
2-1
L
A
Porto
0-3
Porto
0-3
D
A
Arouca
2-2
Arouca
2-2
D
A
Casa Pia
1-1
Casa Pia
1-1
D
A
Vitória Guimarães
0-0
Vitória Guimarães
0-0
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 1.2 GA
W
A
Moreirense
2-1
Moreirense
2-1
W
H
Famalicão
5-0
Famalicão
5-0
L
A
Porto
0-3
Porto
0-3
W
H
Nacional
2-1
Nacional
2-1
D
H
Sporting CP
1-1
Sporting CP
1-1
Nacional
0W 1D 4L
1 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Sporting CP
1-2
Sporting CP
1-2
L
A
Gil Vicente
1-2
Gil Vicente
1-2
L
A
Vitória Guimarães
1-2
Vitória Guimarães
1-2
D
A
AVS
2-2
AVS
2-2
L
A
Alverca
0-1
Alverca
0-1
2W 2D 1L
2.2 GF · 1.2 GA
D
H
Casa Pia
0-0
Casa Pia
0-0
W
H
Rio Ave
4-0
Rio Ave
4-0
D
H
Santa Clara
3-3
Santa Clara
3-3
W
H
Tondela
3-1
Tondela
3-1
L
H
Benfica
1-2
Benfica
1-2
0W 1D 4L
1 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Sporting CP
1-2
Sporting CP
1-2
L
A
Gil Vicente
1-2
Gil Vicente
1-2
L
A
Vitória Guimarães
1-2
Vitória Guimarães
1-2
D
A
AVS
2-2
AVS
2-2
L
A
Alverca
0-1
Alverca
0-1
1W 2D 2L
1.8 GF · 1.4 GA
D
H
Casa Pia
0-0
Casa Pia
0-0
L
A
Sporting CP
1-2
Sporting CP
1-2
W
H
Rio Ave
4-0
Rio Ave
4-0
L
A
Gil Vicente
1-2
Gil Vicente
1-2
D
H
Santa Clara
3-3
Santa Clara
3-3
Sidelined Players
Gil Vicente
0 out
No reported absences
Nacional
3 out
Ivanildo Fernandes
injury
Ulisses
injury
Filipe Soares
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Gil Vicente
6
60%
Draws
1
10%
Nacional
3
30%
Avg Goals
2.4
BTTS
40%
League Signals
Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
49%
Final Words
Nacional have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.