Just Football Predictions

Genk vs Malmö FF

Full Time
Europa League Luminus Arena
Genk

Genk

2
-
1
Malmö FF

Malmö FF

Value Assessment Best Opportunity Key Insights Match Context Recent Form Sidelined Head-to-Head League Signals Final Words

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.30
50% pred
-27.3%
Draw
5.62
24% pred
+6.4%
VALUE
Away Win
8.95
26% pred
+15.0%
VALUE
BTTS Yes 1.78 44%
BTTS No 1.99 46%

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

Malmö FF

Malmö FF in position 35 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Rotation Risk

Genk

Genk has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Must Win

Malmö FF

Malmö FF in position 35 with poor recent form (27% points) - must-win situation

High impact

BTTS Tendency

Genk

Genk matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Leaky Defense

Malmö FF

Malmö FF has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 49.6% home win vs 76.9% market consensus - lower probability, 27.3% gap

High impact

Match Normality

70%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Thu, Jan 29 2026 · 20:00
Venue
Luminus Arena (Genk)
Competition
Europa League · League Stage , 8
Coaches
Nicky Hayen
Nicky Hayen
Genk
Miguel Ramírez
Miguel Ramírez
Malmö FF
Referee
Horațiu Mircea Feșnic Horațiu Mircea Feșnic

Recent Form

Genk Genk
2W 2D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.8 GA
W H Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-1
D H Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-1
L H Club Brugge Club Brugge 3-5
D H Westerlo Westerlo 1-1
W H OH Leuven OH Leuven 2-1
2W 2D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.8 GA
W H Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-1
D H Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-1
L H Club Brugge Club Brugge 3-5
D H Westerlo Westerlo 1-1
W H OH Leuven OH Leuven 2-1
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.2 GA
W A Dender Dender 2-1
W A FC Utrecht FC Utrecht 2-0
L A Zulte-Waregem Zulte-Waregem 1-2
D A Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 2-2
L A FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland 0-1
3W 1D 1L
1.6 GF · 1 GA
W A Dender Dender 2-1
W H Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-1
D H Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-1
W A FC Utrecht FC Utrecht 2-0
L A Zulte-Waregem Zulte-Waregem 1-2
Malmö FF Malmö FF
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
L A Genk Genk 1-2
L A Porto Porto 1-2
L A Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0-3
D A Häcken Häcken 1-1
W A Norrköping Norrköping 2-0
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.4 GA
L H Crvena Zvezda Crvena Zvezda 0-1
W H GAIS GAIS 2-1
L H Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-1
L H Hammarby Hammarby 1-3
D H Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-1
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
L A Genk Genk 1-2
L A Porto Porto 1-2
L A Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0-3
D A Häcken Häcken 1-1
W A Norrköping Norrköping 2-0
1W 0D 4L
0.8 GF · 1.8 GA
L A Genk Genk 1-2
L H Crvena Zvezda Crvena Zvezda 0-1
L A Porto Porto 1-2
L A Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0-3
W H GAIS GAIS 2-1

Sidelined Players

Genk Genk 1 out
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
injury
Malmö FF Malmö FF 5 out
Johan Dahlin
Johan Dahlin
injury
Johan Karlsson
Johan Karlsson
injury
Sead Haksabanovic
Sead Haksabanovic
injury
Pontus Jansson
Pontus Jansson
injury
Anton Tinnerholm
Anton Tinnerholm
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 3)

Genk
2
67%
Draws
1
33%
Malmö FF
0
0%
Avg Goals
3.0
BTTS
67%

League Signals

Predictability
56%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+12%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
21%
BTTS
53%
Over 2.5
56%

Final Words

Malmö FF have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5. Historically, Genk have dominated this fixture.