Just Football Predictions

Feyenoord vs Sturm Graz

Full Time
Europa League Stadion Feijenoord
Feyenoord

Feyenoord

3
-
0
Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz

Value Assessment Best Opportunity Key Insights Match Context Recent Form Sidelined Head-to-Head League Signals Final Words

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.33
48% pred
-27.4%
Draw
5.70
23% pred
+5.0%
VALUE
Away Win
7.47
30% pred
+16.3%
VALUE
BTTS Yes 1.56 60%
BTTS No 2.34 34%

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz in position 32 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

Medium impact

Must Win

Feyenoord

Feyenoord in position 26 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Must Win

Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz in position 32 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

High impact

High Scoring

Feyenoord

Feyenoord involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 47.7% home win vs 75.2% market consensus - lower probability, 27.4% gap

High impact

Match Normality

75%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Thu, Jan 22 2026 · 17:45
Venue
Stadion Feijenoord (Rotterdam)
Competition
Europa League · League Stage , 7
Coaches
Robin van Persie
Robin van Persie
Feyenoord
Fabio Ingolitsch
Fabio Ingolitsch
Sturm Graz
Referee
Halil Umut Meler Halil Umut Meler

Recent Form

Feyenoord Feyenoord
3W 1D 1L
3.4 GF · 1.6 GA
W H Heracles Almelo Heracles Almelo 4-2
W H Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3-0
L H Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 3-4
D H FC Twente FC Twente 1-1
W H PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 6-1
3W 1D 1L
3.4 GF · 1.6 GA
W H Heracles Almelo Heracles Almelo 4-2
W H Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3-0
L H Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 3-4
D H FC Twente FC Twente 1-1
W H PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 6-1
0W 1D 4L
1.2 GF · 2.6 GA
L A PSV PSV 0-3
L A Real Betis Real Betis 1-2
D A SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen 2-2
L A Ajax Ajax 0-2
L A FCSB FCSB 3-4
2W 0D 3L
2.2 GF · 2.2 GA
L A PSV PSV 0-3
L A Real Betis Real Betis 1-2
W H Heracles Almelo Heracles Almelo 4-2
W H Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3-0
L H Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 3-4
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
1W 0D 4L
0.8 GF · 2 GA
L A Feyenoord Feyenoord 0-3
L A Austria Wien Austria Wien 1-3
W A Hartberg Hartberg 1-0
L A Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-2
L A SK Rapid SK Rapid 1-2
2W 0D 3L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
W H Brann Brann 1-0
L H Crvena Zvezda Crvena Zvezda 0-1
W H Grazer AK Grazer AK 2-1
L H WSG Tirol WSG Tirol 1-3
L H LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-3
1W 0D 4L
0.8 GF · 2 GA
L A Feyenoord Feyenoord 0-3
L A Austria Wien Austria Wien 1-3
W A Hartberg Hartberg 1-0
L A Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-2
L A SK Rapid SK Rapid 1-2
2W 0D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.6 GA
W H Brann Brann 1-0
L A Feyenoord Feyenoord 0-3
L A Austria Wien Austria Wien 1-3
L H Crvena Zvezda Crvena Zvezda 0-1
W H Grazer AK Grazer AK 2-1

Sidelined Players

Feyenoord Feyenoord 15 out
Santiago Gimenez
Santiago Gimenez
injury
Ayase Ueda
Ayase Ueda
injury
Gernot Trauner
Gernot Trauner
injury
Givairo Read
Givairo Read
injury
Jaden Slory
Jaden Slory
injury

+10 more

Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 4 out
Arjan Malic
Arjan Malic
injury
Leon Grgic
Leon Grgic
injury
Daniil Khudyakov
Daniil Khudyakov
injury
Dimitri Lavalée
Dimitri Lavalée
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 5)

Feyenoord
2
40%
Draws
1
20%
Sturm Graz
2
40%
Avg Goals
3.0
BTTS
40%

League Signals

Predictability
56%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+12%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
21%
BTTS
53%
Over 2.5
56%