Value Assessment
Home Win
2.39
47% pred
+5.5%
VALUE
Draw
3.54
22% pred
-5.8%
Away Win
2.77
30% pred
-5.9%
BTTS Yes
1.59
57%
BTTS No
2.29
37%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Home Win
@
2.39
+5.5% edge
47% probability
Expected value: +0.13 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
65%
Key Insights
Title Race
Aston Villa leading the table - high motivation to maintain position
High impactEuropean Race
Aston Villa in position 2 - competing for European qualification
Medium impactMust Win
Fenerbahçe in position 18 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
High impactAway Specialist
Aston Villa exceptional away form: 6 wins in last 8 away matches (75% win rate)
Medium impactMatch Normality
80%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Thu, Jan 22 2026
·
17:45
Venue
Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium
(İstanbul)
Competition
Europa League
·
League Stage
, 7
Coaches
Domenico Tedesco
Fenerbahçe
Unai Emery
Aston Villa
Referee
Luis Miguel Branco Godinho
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Fenerbahçe
2W 2D 1L
1.8 GF · 0.8 GA
W
H
Gençlerbirliği
3-1
Gençlerbirliği
3-1
D
H
Göztepe
1-1
Göztepe
1-1
L
H
Aston Villa
0-1
Aston Villa
0-1
W
H
Konyaspor
4-0
Konyaspor
4-0
D
H
Galatasaray
1-1
Galatasaray
1-1
2W 2D 1L
1.8 GF · 0.8 GA
W
H
Gençlerbirliği
3-1
Gençlerbirliği
3-1
D
H
Göztepe
1-1
Göztepe
1-1
L
H
Aston Villa
0-1
Aston Villa
0-1
W
H
Konyaspor
4-0
Konyaspor
4-0
D
H
Galatasaray
1-1
Galatasaray
1-1
4W 1D 0L
2.6 GF · 0.6 GA
W
A
Kocaelispor
2-0
Kocaelispor
2-0
D
A
FCSB
1-1
FCSB
1-1
W
A
Alanyaspor
3-2
Alanyaspor
3-2
W
A
Eyüpspor
3-0
Eyüpspor
3-0
W
A
Brann
4-0
Brann
4-0
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 0.8 GA
W
H
Gençlerbirliği
3-1
Gençlerbirliği
3-1
W
A
Kocaelispor
2-0
Kocaelispor
2-0
D
A
FCSB
1-1
FCSB
1-1
D
H
Göztepe
1-1
Göztepe
1-1
L
H
Aston Villa
0-1
Aston Villa
0-1
Aston Villa
3W 2D 0L
1.2 GF · 0.4 GA
D
A
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
W
A
Newcastle United
2-0
Newcastle United
2-0
W
A
Fenerbahçe
1-0
Fenerbahçe
1-0
W
A
Tottenham Hotspur
2-1
Tottenham Hotspur
2-1
D
A
Crystal Palace
0-0
Crystal Palace
0-0
3W 0D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.2 GA
L
H
Brentford
0-1
Brentford
0-1
W
H
Salzburg
3-2
Salzburg
3-2
L
H
Everton
0-1
Everton
0-1
W
H
Nottingham Forest
3-1
Nottingham Forest
3-1
W
H
Manchester United
2-1
Manchester United
2-1
3W 2D 0L
1.2 GF · 0.4 GA
D
A
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
W
A
Newcastle United
2-0
Newcastle United
2-0
W
A
Fenerbahçe
1-0
Fenerbahçe
1-0
W
A
Tottenham Hotspur
2-1
Tottenham Hotspur
2-1
D
A
Crystal Palace
0-0
Crystal Palace
0-0
3W 1D 1L
1.4 GF · 0.8 GA
D
A
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
AFC Bournemouth
1-1
L
H
Brentford
0-1
Brentford
0-1
W
H
Salzburg
3-2
Salzburg
3-2
W
A
Newcastle United
2-0
Newcastle United
2-0
W
A
Fenerbahçe
1-0
Fenerbahçe
1-0
Sidelined Players
Fenerbahçe
15 out
Archie Brown
injury
Youssef En-Nesyri
suspended
Levent Mercan
injury
Diego Carlos
injury
Edson Álvarez
injury
+10 more
Aston Villa
4 out
John McGinn
injury
Youri Tielemans
injury
Andrés García
injury
Boubacar Kamara
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 1)
Fenerbahçe
0
0%
Draws
0
0%
Aston Villa
1
100%
Avg Goals
1.0
BTTS
0%
League Signals
Predictability
56%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+12%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
21%
BTTS
53%
Over 2.5
56%