FC Union Berlin vs FSV Mainz 05

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.16
46% pred
+0.1%
Draw
3.15
29% pred
-3.1%
Away Win
3.62
25% pred
-2.7%
BTTS Yes 1.92 47%
BTTS No 1.82 48%

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 in position 18 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Must Win

FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 in position 18 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Match Normality

90%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Jan 10 2026 · 14:30
Venue
Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin)
Competition
Bundesliga · 16
Coaches
Steffen Baumgart
Steffen Baumgart
FC Union Berlin
Urs Fischer
Urs Fischer
FSV Mainz 05
Referee
Bastian Dankert Bastian Dankert

Recent Form

FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin
1W 2D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.8 GA
D H Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1
L H Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0-3
D H FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 2-2
W H RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3-1
L H Heidenheim Heidenheim 1-2
1W 2D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.8 GA
D H Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1
L H Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0-3
D H FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 2-2
W H RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3-1
L H Heidenheim Heidenheim 1-2
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
L A TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 1-3
D A VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 1-1
D A FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 1-1
W A FC Köln FC Köln 1-0
L A VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 1-3
0W 3D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.8 GA
D H Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1
L A TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 1-3
L H Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0-3
D A VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 1-1
D A FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 1-1
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
1W 3D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W A RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-1
L A FC Köln FC Köln 1-2
D A FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 2-2
D A FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 2-2
D A Lech Poznań Lech Poznań 1-1
4W 1D 0L
1.8 GF · 0.4 GA
W H FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 2-0
W H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 3-1
W H Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-1
D H St. Pauli St. Pauli 0-0
W H Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-0
1W 3D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W A RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-1
L A FC Köln FC Köln 1-2
D A FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 2-2
D A FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 2-2
D A Lech Poznań Lech Poznań 1-1
4W 0D 1L
2 GF · 1 GA
W H FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 2-0
W A RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-1
W H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 3-1
L A FC Köln FC Köln 1-2
W H Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-1

Sidelined Players

FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 8 out
Ivan Prtajin
Ivan Prtajin
injury
Andrej Ilic
Andrej Ilic
injury
Jérôme Roussillon
Jérôme Roussillon
injury
Tom Rothe
Tom Rothe
injury
Josip Juranovic
Josip Juranovic
injury

+3 more

FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 5 out
Robin Zentner
Robin Zentner
injury
Sota Kawasaki
Sota Kawasaki
injury
William Bøving
William Bøving
injury
Benedict Hollerbach
Benedict Hollerbach
injury
Armindo Sieb
Armindo Sieb
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

FC Union Berlin
5
50%
Draws
4
40%
FSV Mainz 05
1
10%
Avg Goals
2.7
BTTS
80%

League Signals

Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.1
HIGH
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
60%

Final Words

FC Union Berlin have struggled recently, winning just 0 of their last 5 matches. FSV Mainz 05 arrive in strong form with 4 wins from 5 games. Historically, FC Union Berlin have dominated this fixture.