Value Assessment
Home Win
2.10
34% pred
-13.7%
Draw
3.43
31% pred
+1.4%
Away Win
3.40
36% pred
+6.2%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.67
52%
BTTS No
2.15
43%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
3.40
+6.2% edge
36% probability
Expected value: +0.21 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
71%
Key Insights
Relegation Zone
FSV Mainz 05 in position 17 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
High impactRotation Risk
FSV Mainz 05 has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Medium impactMust Win
FSV Mainz 05 in position 17 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
High impactAway Struggles
FSV Mainz 05 winless in last 8 away matches (3 draws, 5 losses) - poor away record
Medium impactMatch Normality
75%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Jan 17 2026
·
14:30
Venue
RheinEnergieStadion
(Cologne)
Competition
Bundesliga
·
18
Coaches
Lukas Kwasniok
FC Köln
Urs Fischer
FSV Mainz 05
Referee
Felix Zwayer
Related Coverage
Recent Form
FC Köln
2W 0D 3L
1 GF · 1.4 GA
L
H
RB Leipzig
1-2
RB Leipzig
1-2
W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
1-0
VfL Wolfsburg
1-0
W
H
FSV Mainz 05
2-1
FSV Mainz 05
2-1
L
H
FC Bayern München
1-3
FC Bayern München
1-3
L
H
FC Union Berlin
0-1
FC Union Berlin
0-1
2W 0D 3L
1 GF · 1.4 GA
L
H
RB Leipzig
1-2
RB Leipzig
1-2
W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
1-0
VfL Wolfsburg
1-0
W
H
FSV Mainz 05
2-1
FSV Mainz 05
2-1
L
H
FC Bayern München
1-3
FC Bayern München
1-3
L
H
FC Union Berlin
0-1
FC Union Berlin
0-1
0W 2D 3L
1 GF · 2 GA
L
A
SC Freiburg
1-2
SC Freiburg
1-2
D
A
Heidenheim
2-2
Heidenheim
2-2
L
A
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-2
D
A
Werder Bremen
1-1
Werder Bremen
1-1
L
A
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1-3
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1-3
2W 0D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
L
H
RB Leipzig
1-2
RB Leipzig
1-2
W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
1-0
VfL Wolfsburg
1-0
L
A
SC Freiburg
1-2
SC Freiburg
1-2
W
H
FSV Mainz 05
2-1
FSV Mainz 05
2-1
L
H
FC Bayern München
1-3
FC Bayern München
1-3
FSV Mainz 05
1W 3D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W
A
RB Leipzig
2-1
RB Leipzig
2-1
L
A
FC Köln
1-2
FC Köln
1-2
D
A
FC Union Berlin
2-2
FC Union Berlin
2-2
D
A
FC Bayern München
2-2
FC Bayern München
2-2
D
A
Lech Poznań
1-1
Lech Poznań
1-1
4W 1D 0L
1.8 GF · 0.4 GA
W
H
FC Augsburg
2-0
FC Augsburg
2-0
W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
3-1
VfL Wolfsburg
3-1
W
H
Heidenheim
2-1
Heidenheim
2-1
D
H
St. Pauli
0-0
St. Pauli
0-0
W
H
Samsunspor
2-0
Samsunspor
2-0
1W 3D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W
A
RB Leipzig
2-1
RB Leipzig
2-1
L
A
FC Köln
1-2
FC Köln
1-2
D
A
FC Union Berlin
2-2
FC Union Berlin
2-2
D
A
FC Bayern München
2-2
FC Bayern München
2-2
D
A
Lech Poznań
1-1
Lech Poznań
1-1
4W 0D 1L
2 GF · 1 GA
W
H
FC Augsburg
2-0
FC Augsburg
2-0
W
A
RB Leipzig
2-1
RB Leipzig
2-1
W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
3-1
VfL Wolfsburg
3-1
L
A
FC Köln
1-2
FC Köln
1-2
W
H
Heidenheim
2-1
Heidenheim
2-1
Sidelined Players
FC Köln
6 out
Dominique Heintz
injury
Luca Kilian
injury
Timo Hübers
injury
Malek El Mala
injury
Alessio Castro-Montes
injury
+1 more
FSV Mainz 05
5 out
Robin Zentner
injury
Sota Kawasaki
injury
William Bøving
injury
Benedict Hollerbach
injury
Armindo Sieb
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
FC Köln
4
40%
Draws
4
40%
FSV Mainz 05
2
20%
Avg Goals
2.6
BTTS
60%
League Signals
Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.1
HIGH
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
60%
Final Words
FSV Mainz 05 arrive in strong form with 4 wins from 5 games.