Value Assessment
Home Win
3.90
35% pred
+9.8%
VALUE
Draw
3.37
29% pred
-0.9%
Away Win
1.99
36% pred
-14.4%
BTTS Yes
1.90
44%
BTTS No
1.86
52%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Home Win
@
3.90
+9.8% edge
35% probability
Expected value: +0.38 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
68%
Key Insights
Rotation Risk
Napoli has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Medium impactMust Win
FC København in position 25 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
High impactMust Win
Napoli in position 24 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
High impactStreak Watch
Napoli unbeaten in 5 games (2 wins, 3 draws) - solid defensive form
Medium impactMatch Normality
85%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Tue, Jan 20 2026
·
20:00
Venue
Parken
(København)
Competition
Champions League
·
League Stage
, 7
Coaches
Jacob Neestrup Hansen
FC København
Antonio Conte
Napoli
Referee
Irfan Peljto
Recent Form
FC København
3W 1D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.4 GA
D
H
Napoli
1-1
Napoli
1-1
L
H
Sønderjyske Fodbold
0-2
Sønderjyske Fodbold
0-2
W
H
Kairat
3-2
Kairat
3-2
W
H
Brøndby IF
1-0
Brøndby IF
1-0
W
H
Fredericia
3-2
Fredericia
3-2
3W 1D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.4 GA
D
H
Napoli
1-1
Napoli
1-1
L
H
Sønderjyske Fodbold
0-2
Sønderjyske Fodbold
0-2
W
H
Kairat
3-2
Kairat
3-2
W
H
Brøndby IF
1-0
Brøndby IF
1-0
W
H
Fredericia
3-2
Fredericia
3-2
1W 0D 4L
0.8 GF · 2.8 GA
L
A
FC Barcelona
1-4
FC Barcelona
1-4
W
A
Villarreal
3-2
Villarreal
3-2
L
A
AGF
0-2
AGF
0-2
L
A
Vejle Boldklub
0-2
Vejle Boldklub
0-2
L
A
Tottenham Hotspur
0-4
Tottenham Hotspur
0-4
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 2.2 GA
L
A
FC Barcelona
1-4
FC Barcelona
1-4
D
H
Napoli
1-1
Napoli
1-1
W
A
Villarreal
3-2
Villarreal
3-2
L
H
Sønderjyske Fodbold
0-2
Sønderjyske Fodbold
0-2
L
A
AGF
0-2
AGF
0-2
Napoli
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Juventus
0-3
Juventus
0-3
D
A
FC København
1-1
FC København
1-1
D
A
Inter
2-2
Inter
2-2
W
A
Lazio
2-0
Lazio
2-0
W
A
Cremonese
2-0
Cremonese
2-0
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Fiorentina
2-1
Fiorentina
2-1
L
H
Chelsea
2-3
Chelsea
2-3
W
H
Sassuolo
1-0
Sassuolo
1-0
D
H
Parma
0-0
Parma
0-0
D
H
Hellas Verona
2-2
Hellas Verona
2-2
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Juventus
0-3
Juventus
0-3
D
A
FC København
1-1
FC København
1-1
D
A
Inter
2-2
Inter
2-2
W
A
Lazio
2-0
Lazio
2-0
W
A
Cremonese
2-0
Cremonese
2-0
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
W
H
Fiorentina
2-1
Fiorentina
2-1
L
H
Chelsea
2-3
Chelsea
2-3
L
A
Juventus
0-3
Juventus
0-3
D
A
FC København
1-1
FC København
1-1
W
H
Sassuolo
1-0
Sassuolo
1-0
Sidelined Players
FC København
5 out
Magnus Mattsson
injury
Rasmus Falk
suspended
Oliver Højer
injury
Rodrigo Huescas
injury
Mohamed Elyounoussi
injury
Napoli
5 out
Matteo Politano
injury
Vanja Milinković-Savić
injury
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
injury
Frank Anguissa
injury
Kevin De Bruyne
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 1)
FC København
0
0%
Draws
1
100%
Napoli
0
0%
Avg Goals
2.0
BTTS
100%
League Signals
Predictability
57%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
20%
BTTS
51%
Over 2.5
57%
Final Words
FC København have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches.