Value Assessment
Home Win
1.51
58% pred
-8.5%
Draw
4.14
18% pred
-5.7%
Away Win
6.28
24% pred
+8.0%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.90
42%
BTTS No
1.84
51%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
6.28
+8.0% edge
24% probability
Expected value: +0.50 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
63%
Key Insights
European Race
FC Groningen in position 7 - competing for Conference League qualification
High impactBTTS Tendency
Fortuna Sittard matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 7 of last 8 matches (88%) - favors BTTS Yes
Medium impactLeaky Defense
Fortuna Sittard has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals
Medium impactMatch Normality
100%
Normal match expected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Jan 25 2026
·
13:30
Venue
Euroborg
(Groningen)
Competition
Eredivisie
·
20
Coaches
Dick Lukkien
FC Groningen
Danny Buijs
Fortuna Sittard
Referee
Ingmar Oostrom
Recent Form
FC Groningen
1W 3D 1L
1.4 GF · 1 GA
L
H
Fortuna Sittard
1-2
Fortuna Sittard
1-2
D
H
NAC Breda
0-0
NAC Breda
0-0
W
H
FC Volendam
3-0
FC Volendam
3-0
D
H
PEC Zwolle
2-2
PEC Zwolle
2-2
D
H
FC Twente
1-1
FC Twente
1-1
1W 3D 1L
1.4 GF · 1 GA
L
H
Fortuna Sittard
1-2
Fortuna Sittard
1-2
D
H
NAC Breda
0-0
NAC Breda
0-0
W
H
FC Volendam
3-0
FC Volendam
3-0
D
H
PEC Zwolle
2-2
PEC Zwolle
2-2
D
H
FC Twente
1-1
FC Twente
1-1
2W 1D 2L
1 GF · 1 GA
L
A
Sparta Rotterdam
0-2
Sparta Rotterdam
0-2
W
A
SC Heerenveen
2-0
SC Heerenveen
2-0
D
A
Go Ahead Eagles
1-1
Go Ahead Eagles
1-1
W
A
Excelsior
2-0
Excelsior
2-0
L
A
Ajax
0-2
Ajax
0-2
1W 2D 2L
0.8 GF · 1 GA
L
A
Sparta Rotterdam
0-2
Sparta Rotterdam
0-2
L
H
Fortuna Sittard
1-2
Fortuna Sittard
1-2
W
A
SC Heerenveen
2-0
SC Heerenveen
2-0
D
H
NAC Breda
0-0
NAC Breda
0-0
D
A
Go Ahead Eagles
1-1
Go Ahead Eagles
1-1
Fortuna Sittard
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
L
A
Heracles Almelo
1-2
Heracles Almelo
1-2
W
A
FC Groningen
2-1
FC Groningen
2-1
D
A
Go Ahead Eagles
2-2
Go Ahead Eagles
2-2
L
A
PEC Zwolle
0-1
PEC Zwolle
0-1
D
A
Sparta Rotterdam
1-1
Sparta Rotterdam
1-1
2W 1D 2L
1.8 GF · 1.8 GA
L
H
PSV
1-2
PSV
1-2
W
H
AZ
4-3
AZ
4-3
L
H
Ajax
1-3
Ajax
1-3
D
H
Heracles Almelo
1-1
Heracles Almelo
1-1
W
H
SC Heerenveen
2-0
SC Heerenveen
2-0
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
L
A
Heracles Almelo
1-2
Heracles Almelo
1-2
W
A
FC Groningen
2-1
FC Groningen
2-1
D
A
Go Ahead Eagles
2-2
Go Ahead Eagles
2-2
L
A
PEC Zwolle
0-1
PEC Zwolle
0-1
D
A
Sparta Rotterdam
1-1
Sparta Rotterdam
1-1
2W 1D 2L
2 GF · 2 GA
L
A
Heracles Almelo
1-2
Heracles Almelo
1-2
W
A
FC Groningen
2-1
FC Groningen
2-1
L
H
PSV
1-2
PSV
1-2
D
A
Go Ahead Eagles
2-2
Go Ahead Eagles
2-2
W
H
AZ
4-3
AZ
4-3
Sidelined Players
FC Groningen
2 out
Stije Resink
injury
Tika de Jonge
injury
Fortuna Sittard
3 out
Daley Sinkgraven
injury
Ramazan Bayram
injury
Luka Tunjic
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
FC Groningen
5
50%
Draws
0
0%
Fortuna Sittard
5
50%
Avg Goals
2.8
BTTS
60%
League Signals
Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
55%
Over 2.5
58%
Final Words
FC Groningen have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches.