FC Bayern München vs VfL Wolfsburg

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.11
77% pred
-13.5%
Draw
10.02
14% pred
+4.4%
MARGINAL
Away Win
18.81
9% pred
+3.7%
MARGINAL
BTTS Yes 1.80 49%
BTTS No 1.96 46%

Key Insights

Title Race

FC Bayern München

FC Bayern München leading the table - high motivation to maintain position

High impact

Relegation Zone

VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg in position 14 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

Medium impact

Streak Watch

FC Bayern München

FC Bayern München unbeaten in 5 games (4 wins, 1 draws) - solid defensive form

Medium impact

Home Fortress

FC Bayern München

FC Bayern München unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (7 wins, 1 draws) - strong home advantage

Medium impact

High Scoring

FC Bayern München

FC Bayern München involved in high-scoring games: 10 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

High Scoring

VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

Match Normality

80%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sun, Jan 11 2026 · 16:30
Venue
Allianz Arena (Munich)
Competition
Bundesliga · 16
Coaches
Vincent Kompany
Vincent Kompany
FC Bayern München
Daniel Bauer
Daniel Bauer
VfL Wolfsburg
Referee
Florian Badstübner Florian Badstübner

Recent Form

FC Bayern München FC Bayern München
3W 1D 1L
3.6 GF · 1.2 GA
W H TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 5-1
L H FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 1-2
W H Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0
W H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 8-1
D H FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 2-2
3W 1D 1L
3.6 GF · 1.2 GA
W H TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 5-1
L H FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 1-2
W H Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0
W H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 8-1
D H FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 2-2
4W 1D 0L
3.2 GF · 1 GA
D A Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 2-2
W A PSV PSV 2-1
W A RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 5-1
W A FC Köln FC Köln 3-1
W A Heidenheim Heidenheim 4-0
3W 1D 1L
2.4 GF · 1.2 GA
W H TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 5-1
D A Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 2-2
W A PSV PSV 2-1
L H FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 1-2
W H Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 2.8 GA
L A FC Köln FC Köln 0-1
L A FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 1-3
L A FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-8
W A Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-1
D A Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1
2W 1D 2L
2 GF · 1.8 GA
L H Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 1-2
D H Heidenheim Heidenheim 1-1
W H St. Pauli St. Pauli 2-1
L H SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 3-4
W H FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 3-1
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 2.8 GA
L A FC Köln FC Köln 0-1
L A FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 1-3
L A FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-8
W A Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-1
D A Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
L H Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 1-2
L A FC Köln FC Köln 0-1
L A FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 1-3
D H Heidenheim Heidenheim 1-1
W H St. Pauli St. Pauli 2-1

Sidelined Players

FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 2 out
Jamal Musiala
Jamal Musiala
injury
Manuel Neuer
Manuel Neuer
injury
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 13 out
Bence Dárdai
Bence Dárdai
injury
Konstantinos Koulierakis
Konstantinos Koulierakis
injury
Jakub Kamiński
Jakub Kamiński
injury
Joakim Maehle
Joakim Maehle
injury
Rogério
Rogério
injury

+8 more

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

FC Bayern München
9
90%
Draws
1
10%
VfL Wolfsburg
0
0%
Avg Goals
4.5
BTTS
70%

League Signals

Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.1
HIGH
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
60%

Final Words

VfL Wolfsburg have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5. Historically, FC Bayern München have dominated this fixture.