FC Bayern München vs Union Saint-Gilloise

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.12
63% pred
-26.4%
Draw
10.14
23% pred
+13.1%
VALUE
Away Win
18.47
14% pred
+8.8%
VALUE
BTTS Yes 1.97 44%
BTTS No 1.79 51%

Key Insights

Title Race

FC Bayern München

FC Bayern München in position 3, 6 points behind leader - competing for title

Medium impact

European Race

FC Bayern München

FC Bayern München in position 3 - competing for European qualification

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

FC Bayern München

FC Bayern München has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

Union Saint-Gilloise

Union Saint-Gilloise has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Must Win

Union Saint-Gilloise

Union Saint-Gilloise in position 30 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

FC Bayern München

FC Bayern München on 5-game winning streak - exceptional form

High impact

Home Fortress

FC Bayern München

FC Bayern München unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (7 wins, 1 draws) - strong home advantage

Medium impact

High Scoring

FC Bayern München

FC Bayern München involved in high-scoring games: 9 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 62.9% home win vs 89.3% market consensus - lower probability, 26.4% gap

High impact

Match Normality

60%

Significant concerns

Match Info

Kickoff
Wed, Jan 21 2026 · 20:00
Venue
Allianz Arena (Munich)
Competition
Champions League · League Stage , 7
Coaches
Vincent Kompany
Vincent Kompany
FC Bayern München
David Hubert
David Hubert
Union Saint-Gilloise
Referee
Rade Obrenović Rade Obrenović

Recent Form

FC Bayern München FC Bayern München
3W 1D 1L
3.2 GF · 1.2 GA
L H FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 1-2
W H Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0
W H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 8-1
D H FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 2-2
W H Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-1
3W 1D 1L
3.2 GF · 1.2 GA
L H FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 1-2
W H Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0
W H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 8-1
D H FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 2-2
W H Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-1
4W 1D 0L
3.2 GF · 1 GA
D A Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 2-2
W A PSV PSV 2-1
W A RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 5-1
W A FC Köln FC Köln 3-1
W A Heidenheim Heidenheim 4-0
3W 1D 1L
2.4 GF · 1.2 GA
D A Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 2-2
W A PSV PSV 2-1
L H FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 1-2
W H Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0
W A RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 5-1
Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise
0W 3D 2L
0.4 GF · 1 GA
D A OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-0
L A FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 0-2
D A Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-1
D A Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-1
L A Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-1
4W 0D 1L
1.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W H Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-0
W H Atalanta Atalanta 1-0
W H Mechelen Mechelen 1-0
W H Zulte-Waregem Zulte-Waregem 2-0
L H Olympique Marseille Olympique Marseille 2-3
0W 3D 2L
0.4 GF · 1 GA
D A OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-0
L A FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 0-2
D A Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-1
D A Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-1
L A Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-1
3W 1D 1L
0.6 GF · 0.4 GA
W H Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-0
W H Atalanta Atalanta 1-0
D A OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-0
L A FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 0-2
W H Mechelen Mechelen 1-0

Sidelined Players

FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 3 out
Jamal Musiala
Jamal Musiala
injury
Konrad Laimer
Konrad Laimer
injury
Raphaël Guerreiro
Raphaël Guerreiro
injury
Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2 out
Kevin Rodríguez
Kevin Rodríguez
injury
Mamadou Thierno Barry
Mamadou Thierno Barry
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 1)

FC Bayern München
1
100%
Draws
0
0%
Union Saint-Gilloise
0
0%
Avg Goals
2.0
BTTS
0%

League Signals

Predictability
57%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
20%
BTTS
51%
Over 2.5
57%