Value Assessment
Home Win
1.13
80% pred
-8.9%
Draw
9.51
11% pred
+0.7%
Away Win
16.26
9% pred
+3.1%
MARGINAL
BTTS Yes
1.81
35%
BTTS No
1.95
61%
VALUE
Key Insights
Title Race
FC Bayern München leading the table - high motivation to maintain position
High impactRotation Risk
FC Bayern München has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Medium impactHigh Scoring
FC Bayern München involved in high-scoring games: 9 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5
Medium impactMarket Disagreement
Model sees 34.9% BTTS vs 55.2% market consensus - lower probability, 20.3% gap
Medium impactMatch Normality
70%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Jan 24 2026
·
14:30
Venue
Allianz Arena
(Munich)
Competition
Bundesliga
·
19
Coaches
Vincent Kompany
FC Bayern München
Sandro Wagner
FC Augsburg
Referee
Florian Exner
Recent Form
FC Bayern München
3W 1D 1L
3.2 GF · 1.2 GA
L
H
FC Augsburg
1-2
FC Augsburg
1-2
W
H
Union Saint-Gilloise
2-0
Union Saint-Gilloise
2-0
W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
8-1
VfL Wolfsburg
8-1
D
H
FSV Mainz 05
2-2
FSV Mainz 05
2-2
W
H
Sporting CP
3-1
Sporting CP
3-1
3W 1D 1L
3.2 GF · 1.2 GA
L
H
FC Augsburg
1-2
FC Augsburg
1-2
W
H
Union Saint-Gilloise
2-0
Union Saint-Gilloise
2-0
W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
8-1
VfL Wolfsburg
8-1
D
H
FSV Mainz 05
2-2
FSV Mainz 05
2-2
W
H
Sporting CP
3-1
Sporting CP
3-1
4W 1D 0L
3.2 GF · 1 GA
D
A
Hamburger SV
2-2
Hamburger SV
2-2
W
A
PSV
2-1
PSV
2-1
W
A
RB Leipzig
5-1
RB Leipzig
5-1
W
A
FC Köln
3-1
FC Köln
3-1
W
A
Heidenheim
4-0
Heidenheim
4-0
3W 1D 1L
2.4 GF · 1.2 GA
D
A
Hamburger SV
2-2
Hamburger SV
2-2
W
A
PSV
2-1
PSV
2-1
L
H
FC Augsburg
1-2
FC Augsburg
1-2
W
H
Union Saint-Gilloise
2-0
Union Saint-Gilloise
2-0
W
A
RB Leipzig
5-1
RB Leipzig
5-1
FC Augsburg
1W 0D 4L
0.8 GF · 2.4 GA
W
A
FC Bayern München
2-1
FC Bayern München
2-1
L
A
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0-4
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0-4
L
A
Eintracht Frankfurt
0-1
Eintracht Frankfurt
0-1
L
A
TSG Hoffenheim
0-3
TSG Hoffenheim
0-3
L
A
VfB Stuttgart
2-3
VfB Stuttgart
2-3
2W 3D 0L
1.4 GF · 0.8 GA
W
H
St. Pauli
2-1
St. Pauli
2-1
D
H
SC Freiburg
2-2
SC Freiburg
2-2
D
H
FC Union Berlin
1-1
FC Union Berlin
1-1
D
H
Werder Bremen
0-0
Werder Bremen
0-0
W
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2-0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2-0
1W 0D 4L
0.8 GF · 2.4 GA
W
A
FC Bayern München
2-1
FC Bayern München
2-1
L
A
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0-4
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0-4
L
A
Eintracht Frankfurt
0-1
Eintracht Frankfurt
0-1
L
A
TSG Hoffenheim
0-3
TSG Hoffenheim
0-3
L
A
VfB Stuttgart
2-3
VfB Stuttgart
2-3
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1.8 GA
W
H
St. Pauli
2-1
St. Pauli
2-1
W
A
FC Bayern München
2-1
FC Bayern München
2-1
D
H
SC Freiburg
2-2
SC Freiburg
2-2
D
H
FC Union Berlin
1-1
FC Union Berlin
1-1
L
A
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0-4
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0-4
Sidelined Players
FC Bayern München
3 out
Jamal Musiala
injury
Konrad Laimer
injury
Raphaël Guerreiro
injury
FC Augsburg
8 out
Marius Wolf
injury
Elvis Rexhbecaj
suspended
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
injury
Dimitrios Giannoulis
injury
Reece Oxford
injury
+3 more
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
FC Bayern München
7
70%
Draws
0
0%
FC Augsburg
3
30%
Avg Goals
3.7
BTTS
70%
League Signals
Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.1
HIGH
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
60%
Final Words
Historically, FC Bayern München have dominated this fixture.