FC Bayern München vs FC Augsburg

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.13
80% pred
-8.9%
Draw
9.51
11% pred
+0.7%
Away Win
16.26
9% pred
+3.1%
MARGINAL
BTTS Yes 1.81 35%
BTTS No 1.95 61% VALUE

Key Insights

Title Race

FC Bayern München

FC Bayern München leading the table - high motivation to maintain position

High impact

Rotation Risk

FC Bayern München

FC Bayern München has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

High Scoring

FC Bayern München

FC Bayern München involved in high-scoring games: 9 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 34.9% BTTS vs 55.2% market consensus - lower probability, 20.3% gap

Medium impact

Match Normality

70%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Jan 24 2026 · 14:30
Venue
Allianz Arena (Munich)
Competition
Bundesliga · 19
Coaches
Vincent Kompany
Vincent Kompany
FC Bayern München
Sandro Wagner
Sandro Wagner
FC Augsburg
Referee
Florian Exner Florian Exner

Recent Form

FC Bayern München FC Bayern München
3W 1D 1L
3.2 GF · 1.2 GA
L H FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 1-2
W H Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0
W H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 8-1
D H FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 2-2
W H Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-1
3W 1D 1L
3.2 GF · 1.2 GA
L H FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 1-2
W H Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0
W H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 8-1
D H FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 2-2
W H Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-1
4W 1D 0L
3.2 GF · 1 GA
D A Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 2-2
W A PSV PSV 2-1
W A RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 5-1
W A FC Köln FC Köln 3-1
W A Heidenheim Heidenheim 4-0
3W 1D 1L
2.4 GF · 1.2 GA
D A Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 2-2
W A PSV PSV 2-1
L H FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 1-2
W H Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0
W A RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 5-1
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
1W 0D 4L
0.8 GF · 2.4 GA
W A FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 2-1
L A Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-4
L A Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 0-1
L A TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 0-3
L A VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 2-3
2W 3D 0L
1.4 GF · 0.8 GA
W H St. Pauli St. Pauli 2-1
D H SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 2-2
D H FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 1-1
D H Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 0-0
W H Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2-0
1W 0D 4L
0.8 GF · 2.4 GA
W A FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 2-1
L A Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-4
L A Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 0-1
L A TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 0-3
L A VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 2-3
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1.8 GA
W H St. Pauli St. Pauli 2-1
W A FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 2-1
D H SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 2-2
D H FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 1-1
L A Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-4

Sidelined Players

FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 3 out
Jamal Musiala
Jamal Musiala
injury
Konrad Laimer
Konrad Laimer
injury
Raphaël Guerreiro
Raphaël Guerreiro
injury
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 8 out
Marius Wolf
Marius Wolf
injury
Elvis Rexhbecaj
Elvis Rexhbecaj
suspended
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
injury
Dimitrios Giannoulis
Dimitrios Giannoulis
injury
Reece Oxford
Reece Oxford
injury

+3 more

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

FC Bayern München
7
70%
Draws
0
0%
FC Augsburg
3
30%
Avg Goals
3.7
BTTS
70%

League Signals

Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.1
HIGH
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
60%

Final Words

Historically, FC Bayern München have dominated this fixture.