FC Barcelona vs Real Oviedo - La Liga Prediction

Value Assessment

Home Win

1.13

78% pred

-10.5%

Draw

9.54

16% pred

+5.9%

VALUE

Away Win

16.19

6% pred

-0.6%

BTTS Yes 1.83 37%

BTTS No 1.93 59% VALUE

Best Opportunity

VALUE

Draw @ 9.54

+5.9% edge 16% probability

Expected value: +0.56 units per bet

Confidence

Medium

64%

Key Insights

Title Race

FC Barcelona leading the table - high motivation to maintain position

High impact

Relegation Zone

Real Oviedo in position 20 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Rotation Risk

FC Barcelona has 5 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

High impact

Must Win

Real Oviedo in position 20 with poor recent form (7% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

Real Oviedo without a win in 5 games (3 draws, 2 losses) - struggling for results

High impact

Home Fortress

FC Barcelona unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (8 wins, 0 draws) - strong home advantage

Medium impact

Away Struggles

Real Oviedo winless in last 8 away matches (2 draws, 6 losses) - poor away record

Medium impact

Defensive Fortress

FC Barcelona has excellent defensive record: 6 clean sheets in last 8 matches (75%) - favors Under/BTTS No

Medium impact

Top Scorer

FC Barcelona has Ferran Torres ranked #3 in league scoring (11 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

75%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff

Sun, Jan 25 2026 · 15:15

Venue

Camp Nou (Barcelona)

Competition

La Liga · 21

Coaches

Hans-Dieter Flick

FC Barcelona

Jorge Almada Álves

Real Oviedo

Referee

Juan Martínez Munuera

Recent Form

FC Barcelona

5W 0D 0L

2.8 GF · 0.6 GA

W H

FC København 4-1

W H

Real Oviedo 3-0

W H Osasuna

Osasuna 2-0

W H

Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1

W H

Atlético Madrid 3-1

5W 0D 0L

2.8 GF · 0.6 GA

W H

FC København 4-1

W H

Real Oviedo 3-0

W H Osasuna

Osasuna 2-0

W H

Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1

W H

Atlético Madrid 3-1

4W 0D 1L

2.4 GF · 1.2 GA

W A

Albacete 2-1

W A Elche

Elche 3-1

W A

Slavia Praha 4-2

L A

Real Sociedad 1-2

W A

Racing Santander 2-0

5W 0D 0L

3.2 GF · 1 GA

W A

Albacete 2-1

W A Elche

Elche 3-1

W H

FC København 4-1

W H

Real Oviedo 3-0

W A

Slavia Praha 4-2

Real Oviedo

0W 1D 4L

0.6 GF · 2.6 GA

L A

FC Barcelona 0-3

L A Osasuna

Osasuna 2-3

D A

Deportivo Alavés 1-1

L A Sevilla

Sevilla 0-4

L A

Atlético Madrid 0-2

1W 4D 0L

0.4 GF · 0.2 GA

W H Girona

Girona 1-0

D H

Real Betis 1-1

D H

Celta de Vigo 0-0

D H

Mallorca 0-0

D H

Rayo Vallecano 0-0

0W 1D 4L

0.6 GF · 2.6 GA

L A

FC Barcelona 0-3

L A Osasuna

Osasuna 2-3

D A

Deportivo Alavés 1-1

L A Sevilla

Sevilla 0-4

L A

Atlético Madrid 0-2

1W 2D 2L

1 GF · 1.6 GA

W H Girona

Girona 1-0

L A

FC Barcelona 0-3

L A Osasuna

Osasuna 2-3

D H

Real Betis 1-1

D A

Deportivo Alavés 1-1

Sidelined Players

FC Barcelona 4 out

Raphinha

injury

Gavi

injury

Andreas Christensen

injury

Pedri

injury

Real Oviedo 1 out

Ovie Ejaria

injury

Head-to-Head (Last 2)

FC Barcelona

2

100%

Draws

0

0%

Real Oviedo

0

0%

Avg Goals

3.5

BTTS

50%

League Signals

Predictability

46%

LOW

Home Bias

+9%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

2.6

MEDIUM

Draw Rate

27%

BTTS

51%

Over 2.5

46%

Final Words

FC Barcelona enter this match in excellent form, winning 5 of their last 5 matches. Real Oviedo have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.