Value Assessment
Home Win
1.57
52% pred
-11.7%
Draw
3.91
24% pred
-1.8%
Away Win
5.79
24% pred
+6.9%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.97
46%
BTTS No
1.78
51%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
5.79
+6.9% edge
24% probability
Expected value: +0.40 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
69%
Key Insights
Relegation Zone
Tondela in position 17 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
High impactMust Win
Tondela in position 17 with poor recent form (27% points) - must-win situation
High impactMatch Normality
100%
Normal match expected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Jan 25 2026
·
18:00
Venue
Complexo Desportivo FC Famalicão - Campo 2
(Vila Nova de Famalicão)
Competition
Liga Portugal
·
19
Coaches
Hugo Filipe Carvalho Oliveira
Famalicão
Cristiano Bacci
Tondela
Referee
Carlos André Fernandes Macedo
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Famalicão
3W 0D 2L
2.6 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
AVS
3-1
AVS
3-1
W
H
Tondela
3-0
Tondela
3-0
L
H
Estrela Amadora
2-3
Estrela Amadora
2-3
W
H
Estoril
4-0
Estoril
4-0
L
H
Sporting Braga
1-2
Sporting Braga
1-2
3W 0D 2L
2.6 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
AVS
3-1
AVS
3-1
W
H
Tondela
3-0
Tondela
3-0
L
H
Estrela Amadora
2-3
Estrela Amadora
2-3
W
H
Estoril
4-0
Estoril
4-0
L
H
Sporting Braga
1-2
Sporting Braga
1-2
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Gil Vicente
0-5
Gil Vicente
0-5
W
A
Santa Clara
1-0
Santa Clara
1-0
L
A
Alverca
0-1
Alverca
0-1
L
A
Benfica
0-1
Benfica
0-1
D
A
Moreirense
2-2
Moreirense
2-2
3W 0D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.4 GA
W
H
AVS
3-1
AVS
3-1
L
A
Gil Vicente
0-5
Gil Vicente
0-5
W
H
Tondela
3-0
Tondela
3-0
W
A
Santa Clara
1-0
Santa Clara
1-0
L
A
Alverca
0-1
Alverca
0-1
Tondela
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.8 GA
D
A
Estoril
2-2
Estoril
2-2
L
A
Famalicão
0-3
Famalicão
0-3
L
A
Moreirense
0-1
Moreirense
0-1
L
A
Nacional
1-3
Nacional
1-3
W
A
Gil Vicente
1-0
Gil Vicente
1-0
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.2 GA
D
H
Benfica
0-0
Benfica
0-0
L
H
Sporting Braga
0-1
Sporting Braga
0-1
W
H
Arouca
3-1
Arouca
3-1
L
H
Casa Pia
1-2
Casa Pia
1-2
L
H
Porto
0-2
Porto
0-2
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.8 GA
D
A
Estoril
2-2
Estoril
2-2
L
A
Famalicão
0-3
Famalicão
0-3
L
A
Moreirense
0-1
Moreirense
0-1
L
A
Nacional
1-3
Nacional
1-3
W
A
Gil Vicente
1-0
Gil Vicente
1-0
0W 2D 3L
0.4 GF · 1.4 GA
D
A
Estoril
2-2
Estoril
2-2
D
H
Benfica
0-0
Benfica
0-0
L
A
Famalicão
0-3
Famalicão
0-3
L
H
Sporting Braga
0-1
Sporting Braga
0-1
L
A
Moreirense
0-1
Moreirense
0-1
Head-to-Head (Last 8)
Famalicão
4
50%
Draws
1
13%
Tondela
3
38%
Avg Goals
2.9
BTTS
50%
League Signals
Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
49%
Final Words
Tondela have been inconsistent, managing just 0 win in their last 5.