Value Assessment
Home Win
5.64
24% pred
+6.6%
VALUE
Draw
4.45
25% pred
+2.7%
Away Win
1.49
50% pred
-16.6%
BTTS Yes
1.71
52%
BTTS No
2.06
43%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Home Win
@
5.64
+6.6% edge
24% probability
Expected value: +0.37 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
71%
Key Insights
Title Race
Celtic in position 3, 6 points behind leader - competing for title
Medium impactHigh Scoring
Celtic involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5
Medium impactMatch Normality
100%
Normal match expected
Match Info
Kickoff
Wed, Jan 14 2026
·
19:45
Venue
Falkirk Community Stadium
(Falkirk)
Competition
Premiership
·
17
Coaches
John McGlynn
Falkirk
Martin O'Neill
Celtic
Referee
John Beaton
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Falkirk
2W 1D 2L
1 GF · 0.8 GA
W
H
Hibernian
4-1
Hibernian
4-1
L
H
Celtic
0-1
Celtic
0-1
W
H
Aberdeen
1-0
Aberdeen
1-0
L
H
Hearts
0-2
Hearts
0-2
D
H
Motherwell
0-0
Motherwell
0-0
2W 1D 2L
1 GF · 0.8 GA
W
H
Hibernian
4-1
Hibernian
4-1
L
H
Celtic
0-1
Celtic
0-1
W
H
Aberdeen
1-0
Aberdeen
1-0
L
H
Hearts
0-2
Hearts
0-2
D
H
Motherwell
0-0
Motherwell
0-0
3W 0D 2L
1 GF · 0.8 GA
W
A
Livingston
2-1
Livingston
2-1
L
A
Celtic
0-2
Celtic
0-2
W
A
St. Mirren
2-0
St. Mirren
2-0
L
A
Dundee
0-1
Dundee
0-1
W
A
Kilmarnock
1-0
Kilmarnock
1-0
3W 0D 2L
1.6 GF · 1 GA
W
A
Livingston
2-1
Livingston
2-1
L
A
Celtic
0-2
Celtic
0-2
W
H
Hibernian
4-1
Hibernian
4-1
L
H
Celtic
0-1
Celtic
0-1
W
A
St. Mirren
2-0
St. Mirren
2-0
Celtic
2W 2D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.6 GA
D
A
Hearts
2-2
Hearts
2-2
D
A
Bologna
2-2
Bologna
2-2
W
A
Falkirk
1-0
Falkirk
1-0
L
A
Motherwell
0-2
Motherwell
0-2
W
A
Livingston
4-2
Livingston
4-2
4W 0D 1L
2.8 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Falkirk
2-0
Falkirk
2-0
W
H
FC Utrecht
4-2
FC Utrecht
4-2
W
H
Dundee United
4-0
Dundee United
4-0
L
H
Rangers
1-3
Rangers
1-3
W
H
Aberdeen
3-1
Aberdeen
3-1
2W 2D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.6 GA
D
A
Hearts
2-2
Hearts
2-2
D
A
Bologna
2-2
Bologna
2-2
W
A
Falkirk
1-0
Falkirk
1-0
L
A
Motherwell
0-2
Motherwell
0-2
W
A
Livingston
4-2
Livingston
4-2
3W 2D 0L
2.2 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Falkirk
2-0
Falkirk
2-0
W
H
FC Utrecht
4-2
FC Utrecht
4-2
D
A
Hearts
2-2
Hearts
2-2
D
A
Bologna
2-2
Bologna
2-2
W
A
Falkirk
1-0
Falkirk
1-0
Sidelined Players
Falkirk
0 out
No reported absences
Celtic
1 out
Luis Palma
suspension
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Falkirk
0
0%
Draws
2
20%
Celtic
8
80%
Avg Goals
2.8
BTTS
20%
League Signals
Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
52%
Final Words
The head-to-head favors Celtic in recent meetings.