Value Assessment
Home Win
2.24
35% pred
-9.7%
Draw
3.41
27% pred
-2.2%
Away Win
3.05
38% pred
+5.1%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.60
53%
BTTS No
2.24
42%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
3.05
+5.1% edge
38% probability
Expected value: +0.16 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
62%
Key Insights
Relegation Zone
Excelsior in position 14 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
Medium impactRelegation Zone
Telstar in position 15 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
Medium impactMatch Normality
90%
Normal match expected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Jan 17 2026
·
19:00
Venue
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
(Rotterdam)
Competition
Eredivisie
·
19
Coaches
Ruben den Uil
Excelsior
Anthony Correia
Telstar
Referee
Bas Nijhuis
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Excelsior
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1.4 GA
D
H
Ajax
2-2
Ajax
2-2
D
H
Telstar
2-2
Telstar
2-2
W
H
PEC Zwolle
2-1
PEC Zwolle
2-1
L
H
FC Groningen
0-2
FC Groningen
0-2
W
H
NAC Breda
1-0
NAC Breda
1-0
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1.4 GA
D
H
Ajax
2-2
Ajax
2-2
D
H
Telstar
2-2
Telstar
2-2
W
H
PEC Zwolle
2-1
PEC Zwolle
2-1
L
H
FC Groningen
0-2
FC Groningen
0-2
W
H
NAC Breda
1-0
NAC Breda
1-0
2W 2D 1L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
W
A
NAC Breda
2-0
NAC Breda
2-0
D
A
FC Twente
0-0
FC Twente
0-0
D
A
AZ
1-1
AZ
1-1
L
A
PSV
1-5
PSV
1-5
W
A
Ajax
2-1
Ajax
2-1
1W 4D 0L
1.4 GF · 1 GA
W
A
NAC Breda
2-0
NAC Breda
2-0
D
H
Ajax
2-2
Ajax
2-2
D
A
FC Twente
0-0
FC Twente
0-0
D
A
AZ
1-1
AZ
1-1
D
H
Telstar
2-2
Telstar
2-2
Telstar
1W 3D 1L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
D
A
Go Ahead Eagles
1-1
Go Ahead Eagles
1-1
L
A
PEC Zwolle
1-4
PEC Zwolle
1-4
D
A
Excelsior
2-2
Excelsior
2-2
W
A
NAC Breda
1-0
NAC Breda
1-0
D
A
Heracles Almelo
1-1
Heracles Almelo
1-1
0W 2D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
L
H
AZ
0-1
AZ
0-1
L
H
Ajax
2-3
Ajax
2-3
D
H
NEC Nijmegen
2-2
NEC Nijmegen
2-2
L
H
Feyenoord
1-2
Feyenoord
1-2
D
H
FC Utrecht
1-1
FC Utrecht
1-1
1W 3D 1L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
D
A
Go Ahead Eagles
1-1
Go Ahead Eagles
1-1
L
A
PEC Zwolle
1-4
PEC Zwolle
1-4
D
A
Excelsior
2-2
Excelsior
2-2
W
A
NAC Breda
1-0
NAC Breda
1-0
D
A
Heracles Almelo
1-1
Heracles Almelo
1-1
0W 2D 3L
1.2 GF · 2.2 GA
D
A
Go Ahead Eagles
1-1
Go Ahead Eagles
1-1
L
A
PEC Zwolle
1-4
PEC Zwolle
1-4
L
H
AZ
0-1
AZ
0-1
D
A
Excelsior
2-2
Excelsior
2-2
L
H
Ajax
2-3
Ajax
2-3
Sidelined Players
Excelsior
1 out
Zach Booth
injury
Telstar
1 out
Marouan El Ouardani
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 2)
Excelsior
0
0%
Draws
2
100%
Telstar
0
0%
Avg Goals
4.0
BTTS
100%
League Signals
Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
55%
Over 2.5
58%
Final Words
Excelsior have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Telstar have been inconsistent, managing just 0 win in their last 5.